Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 26/09, 13:00

Prediction: Kristianstads (W) vs Vittsjö GIK (W)

Team pages: Kristianstads (W) · Vittsjö GIK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Kristianstads (W)2.05

Vittsjö GIK (W)1.23

1X2

55% 23% 22%

Kristianstads (W) Draw Vittsjö GIK (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kristianstads (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLWDWLWD

Vittsjö GIK (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWDLWLD

Head-to-head

Kristianstads (W) 3–2–1 Vittsjö GIK (W) (6 last)

Vittsjö GIK (W)1-1Kristianstads (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)1-2Kristianstads (W)
Kristianstads (W)3-2Vittsjö GIK (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)0-1Kristianstads (W)
Kristianstads (W)0-0Vittsjö GIK (W)
Kristianstads (W)1-6Vittsjö GIK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kristianstads (W) 1572 · Vittsjö GIK (W) 1514

	Kristianstads (W)	Draw	Vittsjö GIK (W)
Our model	55%	23%	22%
Market	55%	23%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristianstads (W) (rating 1572 vs 1514).
H2H favours Kristianstads (W): 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kristianstads (W)	Vittsjö GIK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	2.7 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.90

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Pinn 1.63
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.53 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:28 +29’	1.61	3.90	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:36 +21’	1.63	3.88	4.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristianstads (W) 3–2–1 Vittsjö GIK (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vittsjö GIK (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Kristianstads (W)
04/10/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vittsjö GIK (W)	1-2 HT 1-0	Kristianstads (W)
10/05/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Kristianstads (W)	3-2 HT 1-1	Vittsjö GIK (W)
21/09/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vittsjö GIK (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Kristianstads (W)
18/08/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Kristianstads (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Vittsjö GIK (W)
30/06/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Kristianstads (W)	1-6 HT 1-1	Vittsjö GIK (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	19	17	1	1	55	13	52
2	Hammarby (W)	19	15	2	2	46	10	47
3	Malmo FF (W)	19	10	6	3	38	11	36
4	AIK (W)	19	9	4	6	26	27	31
5	Kristianstads (W)	19	8	5	6	32	29	29
6	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	19	8	3	8	18	22	27
7	Vittsjö GIK (W)	19	7	5	7	24	25	26
8	Brommapojkarna (W)	19	8	2	9	25	33	26
9	Pitea IF (W)	19	6	5	8	23	28	23
10	Djurgardens (W)	19	5	3	11	21	32	18
11	Vaxjo (W)	19	5	3	11	23	37	18
12	FC Rosengård (W)	19	4	5	10	20	25	17
13	IFK Norrkoping (W)	19	3	7	9	17	29	16
14	IK Uppsala (W)	19	1	3	15	13	60	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kristianstads (W)	Vittsjö GIK (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)	0-2 L	2-1 W
AIK (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
FC Rosengård (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
IFK Norrkoping (W)	5-0 W	1-1 D
Malmo FF (W)	0-6 L	1-0 W
IK Uppsala (W)	3-2 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Vittsjö GIK (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kristianstads (W)

WLWLWDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	2-2	6	0	D
13/09	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-0	3	0	W
05/09	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-2	2	0	L
29/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
22/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	6	0	D
16/08	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	5-0	4	0	W
08/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
01/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	3-0	3	4	W
27/06	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-6	6	1	L
18/06	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	3-2	8	0	W

Vittsjö GIK (W)

WDWDWDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-2	7	2	D
13/09	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-4	3	2	L
05/09	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	5-0	5	3	W
29/08	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-3	4	1	L
23/08	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	7	0	D
15/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-1	0	1	W
03/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
27/07	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
24/06	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	11	2	D
18/06	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-1	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kristianstads (W) vs Vittsjö GIK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kristianstads (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Kristianstads (W) 55%, draw 23%, Vittsjö GIK (W) 22%.

How many goals are expected in Kristianstads (W) vs Vittsjö GIK (W)?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Kristianstads (W) 2.05 · Vittsjö GIK (W) 1.23), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kristianstads (W) vs Vittsjö GIK (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.