Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: Pitea IF (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)

Team pages: Pitea IF (W) · IFK Norrkoping (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Pitea IF (W)1.9

IFK Norrkoping (W)1.04

1X2

56% 24% 19%

Pitea IF (W) Draw IFK Norrkoping (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Pitea IF (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLWDWLDL

IFK Norrkoping (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLDLLLWL

Head-to-head

Pitea IF (W) 5–1 IFK Norrkoping (W) (6 last)

IFK Norrkoping (W)1-2Pitea IF (W)
Pitea IF (W)1-2IFK Norrkoping (W)
IFK Norrkoping (W)1-2Pitea IF (W)
Pitea IF (W)1-0IFK Norrkoping (W)
IFK Norrkoping (W)0-1Pitea IF (W)
IFK Norrkoping (W)0-1Pitea IF (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pitea IF (W) (rating 1509 vs 1435).
H2H favours Pitea IF (W): 5-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pitea IF (W)	IFK Norrkoping (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	0.8 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.5	1.9 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	1.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.97

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.12 → 2.12	Pinn 2.12
X	3.38 → 3.38	Pinn 3.38
2	3.08 → 3.08	Pinn 3.08

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:09 +2’	2.12	3.38	3.08

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pitea IF (W) 5–0–1 IFK Norrkoping (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	IFK Norrkoping (W)	1-2 HT 0-2	Pitea IF (W)
30/08/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Pitea IF (W)	1-2 HT 1-2	IFK Norrkoping (W)
08/06/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	IFK Norrkoping (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Pitea IF (W)
03/11/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Pitea IF (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	IFK Norrkoping (W)
16/06/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	IFK Norrkoping (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Pitea IF (W)
20/10/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan	IFK Norrkoping (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Pitea IF (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	20	18	1	1	61	13	55
2	Hammarby (W)	20	16	2	2	49	10	50
3	Malmo FF (W)	20	10	6	4	39	14	36
4	AIK (W)	20	10	4	6	29	27	34
5	Kristianstads (W)	20	8	5	7	33	32	29
6	Vittsjö GIK (W)	20	8	5	7	27	26	29
7	Brommapojkarna (W)	20	9	2	9	28	34	29
8	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	20	8	3	9	18	25	27
9	Pitea IF (W)	20	6	5	9	23	29	23
10	Djurgardens (W)	20	6	3	11	25	33	21
11	FC Rosengård (W)	20	5	5	10	21	25	20
12	Vaxjo (W)	20	5	3	12	23	40	18
13	IFK Norrkoping (W)	20	3	7	10	17	35	16
14	IK Uppsala (W)	20	1	3	16	14	64	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pitea IF (W)	IFK Norrkoping (W)
FC Rosengård (W)	0-1 L	2-1 W
Kristianstads (W)	2-2 D	0-5 L
Brommapojkarna (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
IK Uppsala (W)	5-1 W	4-0 W
Hammarby (W)	0-5 L	0-2 L
BK Hacken (W)	1-4 L	0-6 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Pitea IF (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pitea IF (W)

DDLLWDWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
20/09	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-2	4	0	D
13/09	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
05/09	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	9	2	W
30/08	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	7	0	D
23/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	5-1	7	1	W
16/08	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-4	0-5	0	0	L
09/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-2	1-4	2	2	L
31/07	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
25/06	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	2	0	D

IFK Norrkoping (W)

DLWLDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-6	3	0	L
20/09	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
12/09	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
05/09	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
30/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
23/08	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	9	0	D
16/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-5	7	0	L
01/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	4-0	4	1	W
25/07	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-4	3	1	L
24/06	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pitea IF (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pitea IF (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Pitea IF (W) 56%, draw 24%, IFK Norrkoping (W) 19%.

How many goals are expected in Pitea IF (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Pitea IF (W) 1.9 · IFK Norrkoping (W) 1.04), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Pitea IF (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.