Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 31/10, 15:00
Prediction: FC Rosengård (W) vs Vaxjo (W)
Team pages: FC Rosengård (W) · Vaxjo (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
FC Rosengård (W)1.69
Vaxjo (W)0.83
1X2
FC Rosengård (W)
Draw
Vaxjo (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Rosengård (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Vaxjo (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Rosengård (W)
4–2
Vaxjo (W)
(6 last)
- Vaxjo (W)2-0FC Rosengård (W)
- Vaxjo (W)0-3FC Rosengård (W)
- FC Rosengård (W)2-3Vaxjo (W)
- Vaxjo (W)0-1FC Rosengård (W)
- FC Rosengård (W)2-1Vaxjo (W)
- FC Rosengård (W)4-0Vaxjo (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Rosengård (W) 1514 · Vaxjo (W) 1422
| FC Rosengård (W) | Draw | Vaxjo (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 26% | 17% |
| Market | 58% | 23% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Rosengård (W) (rating 1514 vs 1422).
- H2H favours FC Rosengård (W): 4-0-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Rosengård (W) | Vaxjo (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/10/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.2 | 1.4 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Rosengård (W) 4–0–2 Vaxjo (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Vaxjo (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FC Rosengård (W) |
| 16/03/26 Sweden Cup Women | Vaxjo (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Rosengård (W) |
| 22/08/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | FC Rosengård (W) | 2-3 HT 0-0 | Vaxjo (W) |
| 29/03/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Vaxjo (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Rosengård (W) |
| 17/03/25 Sweden Cup Women | FC Rosengård (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Vaxjo (W) |
| 19/09/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan | FC Rosengård (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Vaxjo (W) |
Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BK Hacken (W) | 23 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 75 | 14 | 64 |
| 2 | Hammarby (W) | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 13 | 56 |
| 3 | Malmo FF (W) | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | AIK (W) | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 32 | 37 |
| 5 | Kristianstads (W) | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 34 | 35 |
| 6 | Vittsjö GIK (W) | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 30 | 32 |
| 7 | Brommapojkarna (W) | 23 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 39 | 32 |
| 8 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 30 | 30 |
| 9 | Pitea IF (W) | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 33 | 27 |
| 10 | Djurgardens (W) | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 39 | 27 |
| 11 | FC Rosengård (W) | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 28 | 23 |
| 12 | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 37 | 23 |
| 13 | Vaxjo (W) | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 25 | 46 | 18 |
| 14 | IK Uppsala (W) | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 83 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Rosengård (W) | Vaxjo (W) |
|---|---|---|
| AIK (W) | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Vittsjö GIK (W) | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Malmo FF (W) | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Pitea IF (W) | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Djurgardens (W) | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| BK Hacken (W) | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Kristianstads (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Rosengård (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Rosengård (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 29/08 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 15/08 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 1 | L |
Vaxjo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-4 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 14/08 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Rosengård (W) vs Vaxjo (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Rosengård (W) win (58%). Probabilities: FC Rosengård (W) 58%, draw 24%, Vaxjo (W) 18%.
How many goals are expected in FC Rosengård (W) vs Vaxjo (W)?
The model expects 2.52 goals (FC Rosengård (W) 1.69 · Vaxjo (W) 0.83), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Rosengård (W) vs Vaxjo (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.