Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Brommapojkarna (W) vs AIK (W)

Team pages: Brommapojkarna (W) · AIK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Brommapojkarna (W)1.08

AIK (W)1.58

1X2

26% 26% 48%

Brommapojkarna (W) Draw AIK (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Brommapojkarna (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWWWWLWL

AIK (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Brommapojkarna (W) 1–2–3 AIK (W) (6 last)

AIK (W)1-0Brommapojkarna (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)3-0AIK (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)2-2AIK (W)
AIK (W)2-0Brommapojkarna (W)
AIK (W)2-2Brommapojkarna (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)1-2AIK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brommapojkarna (W) 1532 · AIK (W) 1515

	Brommapojkarna (W)	Draw	AIK (W)
Our model	25%	28%	48%
Market	26%	24%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours AIK (W): 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brommapojkarna (W)	AIK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5	2.5 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.70

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 3.40▲	Pinn 3.69 ★
X	3.60 → 3.70▲	Pinn 3.78
2	2.05 → 1.83▼	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:07 +11’	2.90	3.60	2.05
17:00 +22’	3.40▲	3.70▲	1.83▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:14 +64’	3.69	3.78	1.82

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brommapojkarna (W) 1–2–3 AIK (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/08/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	AIK (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Brommapojkarna (W)
08/11/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	AIK (W)
01/08/25 Women’s Friendly	Brommapojkarna (W)	2-2 HT 2-0	AIK (W)
26/04/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	AIK (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Brommapojkarna (W)
22/09/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	AIK (W)	2-2 HT 1-0	Brommapojkarna (W)
09/08/24 Women’s Friendly	Brommapojkarna (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	AIK (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	23	21	1	1	75	14	64
2	Hammarby (W)	23	18	2	3	54	13	56
3	Malmo FF (W)	23	13	6	4	45	17	45
4	AIK (W)	23	11	4	8	34	32	37
5	Kristianstads (W)	23	10	5	8	41	34	35
6	Vittsjö GIK (W)	23	9	5	9	29	30	32
7	Brommapojkarna (W)	23	10	2	11	31	39	32
8	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	23	9	3	11	21	30	30
9	Pitea IF (W)	23	7	6	10	28	33	27
10	Djurgardens (W)	23	8	3	12	30	39	27
11	FC Rosengård (W)	23	6	5	12	23	28	23
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	23	5	8	10	25	37	23
13	Vaxjo (W)	23	5	3	15	25	46	18
14	IK Uppsala (W)	23	1	3	19	14	83	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brommapojkarna (W)	AIK (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Vaxjo (W)	2-1 W	3-0 W
Hammarby (W)	0-2 L	2-1 W
Malmo FF (W)	3-1 W	2-3 L
Kristianstads (W)	2-0 W	0-1 L
Pitea IF (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Djurgardens (W)	2-2 D	1-2 L
BK Hacken (W)	0-6 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: AIK (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brommapojkarna (W)

LDDWWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
17/10	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
04/10	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	1	1	L
27/09	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	3-1	1	1	W
19/09	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
12/09	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
05/09	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-0	9	0	W
30/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	6	0	D
22/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	2-2	4	1	D
15/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-6	0	1	L

AIK (W)

LLLDWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
17/10	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-3	2-3	5	3	L
04/10	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-2	6	1	L
26/09	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	3-0	6	3	W
19/09	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
13/09	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
05/09	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
29/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
23/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-2	1-4	1	2	L
15/08	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-2	11	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brommapojkarna (W) vs AIK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AIK (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Brommapojkarna (W) 26%, draw 26%, AIK (W) 48%.

How many goals are expected in Brommapojkarna (W) vs AIK (W)?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Brommapojkarna (W) 1.08 · AIK (W) 1.58), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Brommapojkarna (W) vs AIK (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.