Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 23/10, 19:00

Prediction: Vaxjo (W) vs BK Hacken (W)

Team pages: Vaxjo (W) · BK Hacken (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.97Total

Vaxjo (W)0.99

BK Hacken (W)2.99

1X2

7% 12% 81%

Vaxjo (W) Draw BK Hacken (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

0-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Vaxjo (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLDLLL

BK Hacken (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWWWWW

Head-to-head

Vaxjo (W) 0–6 BK Hacken (W) (6 last)

BK Hacken (W)4-2Vaxjo (W)
Vaxjo (W)0-5BK Hacken (W)
BK Hacken (W)3-1Vaxjo (W)
BK Hacken (W)4-0Vaxjo (W)
Vaxjo (W)0-3BK Hacken (W)
BK Hacken (W)3-0Vaxjo (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vaxjo (W) 1434 · BK Hacken (W) 1609

	Vaxjo (W)	Draw	BK Hacken (W)
Our model	9%	14%	77%
Market	5%	10%	85%

Estimated total (ours) 3.97 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK Hacken (W) (rating 1434 vs 1609).
H2H favours BK Hacken (W): 6-0-0.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vaxjo (W)	BK Hacken (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.1	4.1 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.3	2.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.1	3.6 / 8.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

119.00

X9.00

21.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.93

2 (-2.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	19.00 → 19.00	Bet365 19.00
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:00 +8’	19.00	9.00	1.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vaxjo (W) 0–0–6 BK Hacken (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	BK Hacken (W)	4-2 HT 2-1	Vaxjo (W)
17/08/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	0-5 HT 0-1	BK Hacken (W)
19/04/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	BK Hacken (W)	3-1 HT 2-0	Vaxjo (W)
30/09/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	BK Hacken (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	Vaxjo (W)
08/05/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vaxjo (W)	0-3 HT 0-3	BK Hacken (W)
09/03/24 Sweden Cup Women	BK Hacken (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Vaxjo (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	22	20	1	1	73	13	61
2	Hammarby (W)	22	17	2	3	51	13	53
3	Malmo FF (W)	22	12	6	4	43	16	42
4	Kristianstads (W)	22	10	5	7	40	32	35
5	AIK (W)	22	10	4	8	32	32	34
6	Vittsjö GIK (W)	22	9	5	8	29	28	32
7	Brommapojkarna (W)	22	10	2	10	30	37	32
8	Djurgardens (W)	22	8	3	11	30	36	27
9	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	22	8	3	11	19	29	27
10	Pitea IF (W)	22	6	6	10	26	33	24
11	FC Rosengård (W)	22	6	5	11	23	26	23
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	22	4	8	10	20	37	20
13	Vaxjo (W)	22	5	3	14	24	44	18
14	IK Uppsala (W)	22	1	3	18	14	78	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vaxjo (W)	BK Hacken (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)	1-2 L	6-0 W
AIK (W)	0-3 L	4-1 W
Vittsjö GIK (W)	2-2 D	4-0 W
Hammarby (W)	0-3 L	3-0 W
Pitea IF (W)	0-2 L	4-1 W
Malmo FF (W)	0-4 L	1-1 D
Eskilstuna Utd (W)	1-0 W	3-0 W
FC Rosengård (W)	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	7 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: BK Hacken (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vaxjo (W)

WLWLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
03/10	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-2	1	1	L
26/09	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-3	0	3	L
19/09	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	2-2	7	2	D
13/09	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
05/09	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
29/08	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-4	12	1	L
22/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
14/08	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	2-3	6	2	L
07/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	7	1	W

BK Hacken (W)

WWWWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	3-0	8	4	W
04/10	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	6-0	9-0	9	2	W
26/09	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	6-0	7	0	W
19/09	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
13/09	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	4-0	10	2	W
06/09	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
29/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	11	3	W
23/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	4-1	6	2	W
15/08	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	6-0	9	1	W
09/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	4-1	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vaxjo (W) vs BK Hacken (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an BK Hacken (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Vaxjo (W) 7%, draw 12%, BK Hacken (W) 81%.

How many goals are expected in Vaxjo (W) vs BK Hacken (W)?

The model expects 3.97 goals (Vaxjo (W) 0.99 · BK Hacken (W) 2.99), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vaxjo (W) vs BK Hacken (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.