Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: AIK (W) vs IK Uppsala (W)

Team pages: AIK (W) · IK Uppsala (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.76Total

AIK (W)3.38

IK Uppsala (W)1.38

1X2

84% 9% 7%

AIK (W) Draw IK Uppsala (W)

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

AIK (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWWWLLWW

IK Uppsala (W) 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

AIK (W) 0–2–1 IK Uppsala (W) (3 last)

IK Uppsala (W)2-2AIK (W)
AIK (W)2-2IK Uppsala (W)
AIK (W)1-2IK Uppsala (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AIK (W) 1546 · IK Uppsala (W) 1379

	AIK (W)	Draw	IK Uppsala (W)
Our model	75%	14%	11%
Market	92%	5%	3%

Estimated total (ours) 4.76 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 88%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AIK (W) (rating 1546 vs 1379).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AIK (W)	IK Uppsala (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	0.2 / 4.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	0 / 2.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	0/20/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	1 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.02

X19.00

234.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4)1.95

2 (+4)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 51.93

Under 51.88

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.03 → 1.02▼	Bet365 1.02
X	17.00 → 19.00▲	Bet365 19.00
2	26.00 → 34.00▲	Bet365 34.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:02 +10’	1.03	17.00	26.00
18:07 +6’	1.02▼	19.00▲	34.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AIK (W) 0–2–1 IK Uppsala (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	IK Uppsala (W)	2-2 HT 2-2	AIK (W)
04/05/19 Sweden Div 1 Women	AIK (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	IK Uppsala (W)
05/09/18 Sweden Elitettan	AIK (W)	1-2 HT 1-0	IK Uppsala (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	24	22	1	1	79	15	67
2	Hammarby (W)	24	19	2	3	61	13	59
3	Malmo FF (W)	24	13	7	4	46	18	46
4	AIK (W)	24	12	4	8	39	34	40
5	Kristianstads (W)	24	10	5	9	42	38	35
6	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	24	10	3	11	22	30	33
7	Vittsjö GIK (W)	24	9	5	10	29	32	32
8	Brommapojkarna (W)	24	10	2	12	33	44	32
9	Djurgardens (W)	24	9	3	12	32	39	30
10	Pitea IF (W)	24	7	6	11	28	34	27
11	FC Rosengård (W)	24	6	6	12	24	29	24
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	24	5	9	10	26	38	24
13	Vaxjo (W)	24	5	4	15	26	47	19
14	IK Uppsala (W)	24	1	3	20	14	90	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AIK (W)	IK Uppsala (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)	5-2 W	0-1 L
FC Rosengård (W)	2-0 W	0-1 L
Djurgardens (W)	1-2 L	1-4 L
Hammarby (W)	2-1 W	0-7 L
Pitea IF (W)	1-0 W	1-5 L
Eskilstuna Utd (W)	1-1 D	0-6 L
Kristianstads (W)	0-1 L	0-5 L
BK Hacken (W)	1-4 L	0-9 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: AIK (W) (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AIK (W)

LLDWWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-2	5-2	2	1	W
25/10	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
17/10	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-3	2-3	5	3	L
04/10	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-2	6	1	L
26/09	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	3-0	6	3	W
19/09	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
13/09	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
05/09	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
29/08	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
23/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-2	1-4	1	2	L

IK Uppsala (W)

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-4	0-7	1	1	L
24/10	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-5	3	1	L
17/10	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-5	1	1	L
04/10	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-6	0-9	0	2	L
26/09	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	1-4	1	0	L
19/09	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
12/09	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
05/09	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-5	3	3	L
28/08	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-5	0-6	1	1	L
23/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	1-5	0	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AIK (W) vs IK Uppsala (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AIK (W) win (84%). Probabilities: AIK (W) 84%, draw 9%, IK Uppsala (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in AIK (W) vs IK Uppsala (W)?

The model expects 4.76 goals (AIK (W) 3.38 · IK Uppsala (W) 1.38), with a 55% chance of under 5 goals.

Will both teams score in AIK (W) vs IK Uppsala (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.