Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 08/11, 15:00
Prediction: Vaxjo (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)
Team pages: Vaxjo (W) · IFK Norrkoping (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Vaxjo (W)1.13
IFK Norrkoping (W)1.52
1X2
Vaxjo (W)
Draw
IFK Norrkoping (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Vaxjo (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
IFK Norrkoping (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vaxjo (W)
2–2–2
IFK Norrkoping (W)
(6 last)
- IFK Norrkoping (W)0-0Vaxjo (W)
- IFK Norrkoping (W)2-0Vaxjo (W)
- Vaxjo (W)1-1IFK Norrkoping (W)
- IFK Norrkoping (W)1-0Vaxjo (W)
- Vaxjo (W)1-0IFK Norrkoping (W)
- Vaxjo (W)3-1IFK Norrkoping (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vaxjo (W) 1446 · IFK Norrkoping (W) 1496
| Vaxjo (W) | Draw | IFK Norrkoping (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 28% | 45% |
| Market | 29% | 24% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Norrkoping (W) (rating 1446 vs 1496).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vaxjo (W) | IFK Norrkoping (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.1 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/10/80% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.3 | 2.2 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vaxjo (W) 2–2–2 IFK Norrkoping (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Vaxjo (W) |
| 05/10/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Vaxjo (W) |
| 14/06/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Vaxjo (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | IFK Norrkoping (W) |
| 07/09/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Vaxjo (W) |
| 18/08/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Vaxjo (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | IFK Norrkoping (W) |
| 10/02/24 Women’s Friendly | Vaxjo (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | IFK Norrkoping (W) |
Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BK Hacken (W) | 25 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 80 | 16 | 68 |
| 2 | Hammarby (W) | 25 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 63 | 13 | 62 |
| 3 | Malmo FF (W) | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 47 |
| 4 | AIK (W) | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 36 | 43 |
| 5 | Kristianstads (W) | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 39 | 38 |
| 6 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 32 | 33 |
| 7 | Vittsjö GIK (W) | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 32 | 32 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna (W) | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 44 | 32 |
| 9 | Djurgardens (W) | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 40 | 31 |
| 10 | Pitea IF (W) | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 28 |
| 11 | FC Rosengård (W) | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 31 | 24 |
| 12 | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 38 | 24 |
| 13 | Vaxjo (W) | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 47 | 19 |
| 14 | IK Uppsala (W) | 25 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 98 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vaxjo (W) | IFK Norrkoping (W) |
|---|---|---|
| FC Rosengård (W) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| BK Hacken (W) | 1-2 L | 0-6 L |
| Brommapojkarna (W) | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Vittsjö GIK (W) | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Hammarby (W) | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Pitea IF (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Malmo FF (W) | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: IFK Norrkoping (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vaxjo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 23/10 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-4 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
IFK Norrkoping (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 24/10 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 17/10 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 03/10 | Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-6 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 20/09 | FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vaxjo (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an IFK Norrkoping (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Vaxjo (W) 28%, draw 26%, IFK Norrkoping (W) 46%.
How many goals are expected in Vaxjo (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Vaxjo (W) 1.13 · IFK Norrkoping (W) 1.52), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Vaxjo (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.