Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: Pitea IF (W) vs Eskilstuna Utd (W)

Team pages: Pitea IF (W) · Eskilstuna Utd (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

Pitea IF (W)1.72

Eskilstuna Utd (W)1.16

1X2

50% 26% 25%

Pitea IF (W) Draw Eskilstuna Utd (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Pitea IF (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWLDLDLW

Eskilstuna Utd (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWDLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Pitea IF (W) 1–5 Eskilstuna Utd (W) (6 last)

Eskilstuna Utd (W)2-0Pitea IF (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)1-3Pitea IF (W)
Pitea IF (W)1-2Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)2-1Pitea IF (W)
Eskilstuna Utd (W)3-0Pitea IF (W)
Pitea IF (W)0-2Eskilstuna Utd (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pitea IF (W) 1511 · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 1492

	Pitea IF (W)	Draw	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Our model	49%	26%	25%
Market	50%	26%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Eskilstuna Utd (W): 5-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pitea IF (W)	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.6	2.5 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0	1.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.50

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Pinn 1.93 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.71

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:11 +11’	1.80	3.50	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:14 +8’	1.93	3.36	3.71

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pitea IF (W) 1–0–5 Eskilstuna Utd (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Pitea IF (W)
05/11/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	1-3 HT 0-1	Pitea IF (W)
08/05/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Pitea IF (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
27/02/22 Sweden Cup Women	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Pitea IF (W)
29/08/21 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Pitea IF (W)
25/04/21 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Pitea IF (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Eskilstuna Utd (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	23	21	1	1	75	14	64
2	Hammarby (W)	23	18	2	3	54	13	56
3	Malmo FF (W)	23	13	6	4	45	17	45
4	AIK (W)	23	11	4	8	34	32	37
5	Kristianstads (W)	23	10	5	8	41	34	35
6	Vittsjö GIK (W)	23	9	5	9	29	30	32
7	Brommapojkarna (W)	23	10	2	11	31	39	32
8	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	23	9	3	11	21	30	30
9	Pitea IF (W)	23	7	6	10	28	33	27
10	Djurgardens (W)	23	8	3	12	30	39	27
11	FC Rosengård (W)	23	6	5	12	23	28	23
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	23	5	8	10	25	37	23
13	Vaxjo (W)	23	5	3	15	25	46	18
14	IK Uppsala (W)	23	1	3	19	14	83	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pitea IF (W)	Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)	2-0 W	0-2 L
IFK Norrkoping (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
FC Rosengård (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
AIK (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Vaxjo (W)	2-0 W	0-1 L
Brommapojkarna (W)	1-1 D	2-1 W
IK Uppsala (W)	5-1 W	6-0 W
Hammarby (W)	0-5 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Eskilstuna Utd (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pitea IF (W)

LWDWLDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	6	1	W
18/10	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	2-3	9	2	L
03/10	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
27/09	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
20/09	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-2	4	0	D
13/09	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
05/09	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	9	2	W
30/08	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	7	0	D
23/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	5-1	7	1	W
16/08	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-4	0-5	0	0	L

Eskilstuna Utd (W)

WLWDLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
17/10	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-2	3	0	L
03/10	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
26/09	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
19/09	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
12/09	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
05/09	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
28/08	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	5-0	6-0	14	1	W
22/08	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
15/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	0	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pitea IF (W) vs Eskilstuna Utd (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pitea IF (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Pitea IF (W) 50%, draw 26%, Eskilstuna Utd (W) 25%.

How many goals are expected in Pitea IF (W) vs Eskilstuna Utd (W)?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Pitea IF (W) 1.72 · Eskilstuna Utd (W) 1.16), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Pitea IF (W) vs Eskilstuna Utd (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.