Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 06/11, 18:00

Prediction: Djurgardens (W) vs BK Hacken (W)

Team pages: Djurgardens (W) · BK Hacken (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Djurgardens (W)0.77

BK Hacken (W)2.35

1X2

10% 18% 72%

Djurgardens (W) Draw BK Hacken (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

0-2 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Djurgardens (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWWWLW

BK Hacken (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Djurgardens (W) 0–1–5 BK Hacken (W) (6 last)

BK Hacken (W)3-0Djurgardens (W)
Djurgardens (W)1-1BK Hacken (W)
Djurgardens (W)0-2BK Hacken (W)
BK Hacken (W)4-1Djurgardens (W)
BK Hacken (W)4-2Djurgardens (W)
Djurgardens (W)1-2BK Hacken (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Djurgardens (W) 1507 · BK Hacken (W) 1606

	Djurgardens (W)	Draw	BK Hacken (W)
Our model	10%	18%	72%
Market	10%	17%	72%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK Hacken (W) (rating 1507 vs 1606).
H2H favours BK Hacken (W): 5-1-0.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Djurgardens (W)	BK Hacken (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	3.7 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	2.1 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.2	4 / 8.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0.1	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

19.00

X5.25

21.27

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.90

2 (-1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.25 → 9.00▲	Pinn 9.78
X	5.00 → 5.25▲	Pinn 6.15 ★
2	1.36 → 1.27▼	Bet365 1.27

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.9% Pinnacle margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:45 +22’	6.25	5.00	1.36
16:04 +2’	9.00▲	5.25▲	1.27▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:03 +3’	9.78	6.15	1.21

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Djurgardens (W) 0–1–5 BK Hacken (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	BK Hacken (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Djurgardens (W)
20/03/26 Sweden Cup Women	Djurgardens (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	BK Hacken (W)
08/11/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Djurgardens (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	BK Hacken (W)
09/08/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	BK Hacken (W)	4-1 HT 0-0	Djurgardens (W)
15/03/25 Sweden Cup Women	BK Hacken (W)	4-2 HT 2-1	Djurgardens (W)
20/10/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Djurgardens (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	BK Hacken (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	24	22	1	1	79	15	67
2	Hammarby (W)	24	19	2	3	61	13	59
3	Malmo FF (W)	24	13	7	4	46	18	46
4	AIK (W)	24	12	4	8	39	34	40
5	Kristianstads (W)	24	10	5	9	42	38	35
6	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	24	10	3	11	22	30	33
7	Vittsjö GIK (W)	24	9	5	10	29	32	32
8	Brommapojkarna (W)	24	10	2	12	33	44	32
9	Djurgardens (W)	24	9	3	12	32	39	30
10	Pitea IF (W)	24	7	6	11	28	34	27
11	FC Rosengård (W)	24	6	6	12	24	29	24
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	24	5	9	10	26	38	24
13	Vaxjo (W)	24	5	4	15	26	47	19
14	IK Uppsala (W)	24	1	3	20	14	90	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Djurgardens (W)	BK Hacken (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)	2-0 W	4-0 W
Hammarby (W)	0-3 L	3-0 W
AIK (W)	2-1 W	4-1 W
IK Uppsala (W)	4-1 W	9-0 W
Malmo FF (W)	0-3 L	1-1 D
Kristianstads (W)	0-2 L	4-1 W
FC Rosengård (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
IFK Norrkoping (W)	1-0 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	7 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: BK Hacken (W) (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Djurgardens (W)

DWLLLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
24/10	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-3	0	2	L
18/10	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	3-2	2	2	W
04/10	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-1	4	1	W
26/09	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	4-1	9	0	W
18/09	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-3	4	1	L
13/09	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-2	4	0	L
05/09	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
30/08	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
22/08	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	2-2	2	1	D

BK Hacken (W)

WWDWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-0	4-1	8	1	W
23/10	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-1	10	2	W
18/10	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	3-0	8	4	W
04/10	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	6-0	9-0	9	2	W
26/09	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	6-0	7	0	W
19/09	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
13/09	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	4-0	10	2	W
06/09	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
29/08	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	11	3	W
23/08	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	4-1	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Djurgardens (W) vs BK Hacken (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an BK Hacken (W) win (72%). Probabilities: Djurgardens (W) 10%, draw 18%, BK Hacken (W) 72%.

How many goals are expected in Djurgardens (W) vs BK Hacken (W)?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Djurgardens (W) 0.77 · BK Hacken (W) 2.35), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Djurgardens (W) vs BK Hacken (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.