Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 15/11, 14:00
Prediction: Hammarby (W) vs Kristianstads (W)
Team pages: Hammarby (W) · Kristianstads (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Hammarby (W)2.33
Kristianstads (W)0.77
1X2
Hammarby (W)
Draw
Kristianstads (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Hammarby (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Kristianstads (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hammarby (W)
4–2
Kristianstads (W)
(6 last)
- Kristianstads (W)0-1Hammarby (W)
- Kristianstads (W)0-2Hammarby (W)
- Hammarby (W)1-0Kristianstads (W)
- Kristianstads (W)2-0Hammarby (W)
- Hammarby (W)1-2Kristianstads (W)
- Kristianstads (W)0-2Hammarby (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hammarby (W) 1653 · Kristianstads (W) 1515
| Hammarby (W) | Draw | Kristianstads (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| Market | 72% | 17% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hammarby (W) (rating 1653 vs 1515).
- H2H favours Hammarby (W): 4-0-2.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hammarby (W) | Kristianstads (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.6 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 7.8 | 2.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hammarby (W) 4–0–2 Kristianstads (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Kristianstads (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hammarby (W) |
| 20/03/26 Sweden Cup Women | Kristianstads (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Hammarby (W) |
| 22/08/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Hammarby (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Kristianstads (W) |
| 24/05/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Kristianstads (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Hammarby (W) |
| 08/09/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Hammarby (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Kristianstads (W) |
| 27/04/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Kristianstads (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Hammarby (W) |
Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BK Hacken (W) | 25 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 80 | 16 | 68 |
| 2 | Hammarby (W) | 25 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 63 | 13 | 62 |
| 3 | Malmo FF (W) | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 47 |
| 4 | AIK (W) | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 36 | 43 |
| 5 | Kristianstads (W) | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 39 | 38 |
| 6 | Vittsjö GIK (W) | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 36 | 35 |
| 7 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 32 | 33 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna (W) | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 49 | 32 |
| 9 | Djurgardens (W) | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 40 | 31 |
| 10 | Pitea IF (W) | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 28 |
| 11 | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 38 | 27 |
| 12 | FC Rosengård (W) | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 31 | 24 |
| 13 | Vaxjo (W) | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 26 | 48 | 19 |
| 14 | IK Uppsala (W) | 25 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 98 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hammarby (W) | Kristianstads (W) |
|---|---|---|
| IK Uppsala (W) | 7-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Djurgardens (W) | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| BK Hacken (W) | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Brommapojkarna (W) | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| AIK (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Vaxjo (W) | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Vittsjö GIK (W) | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Hammarby (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hammarby (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 01/11 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
4-0 | 7-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 24/10 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
Kristianstads (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 02/11 | BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 24/10 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 17/10 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 13/09 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hammarby (W) vs Kristianstads (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hammarby (W) win (72%). Probabilities: Hammarby (W) 72%, draw 18%, Kristianstads (W) 10%.
How many goals are expected in Hammarby (W) vs Kristianstads (W)?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Hammarby (W) 2.33 · Kristianstads (W) 0.77), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hammarby (W) vs Kristianstads (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.