Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 15/11, 14:00

Prediction: Malmo FF (W) vs Vittsjö GIK (W)

Team pages: Malmo FF (W) · Vittsjö GIK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Malmo FF (W)2.35

Vittsjö GIK (W)0.97

1X2

68% 19% 14%

Malmo FF (W) Draw Vittsjö GIK (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Malmo FF (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWWWDD

Vittsjö GIK (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWLLLW

Head-to-head

Malmo FF (W) 2–2 Vittsjö GIK (W) (4 last)

Vittsjö GIK (W)1-0Malmo FF (W)
Malmo FF (W)3-1Vittsjö GIK (W)
Malmo FF (W)2-0Vittsjö GIK (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)3-2Malmo FF (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Malmo FF (W) 1580 · Vittsjö GIK (W) 1505

	Malmo FF (W)	Draw	Vittsjö GIK (W)
Our model	67%	20%	13%
Market	68%	18%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malmo FF (W) (rating 1580 vs 1505).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Malmo FF (W)	Vittsjö GIK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.9	1.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.8	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.56
2	6.50 → 6.50	Pinn 7.84 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4% Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:53 +20’	1.33	5.00	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:08 +12’	1.28	5.56	7.84

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Malmo FF (W) 2–0–2 Vittsjö GIK (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/07/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vittsjö GIK (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Malmo FF (W)
16/11/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Malmo FF (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Vittsjö GIK (W)
25/07/25 Women’s Friendly	Malmo FF (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Vittsjö GIK (W)
24/05/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Vittsjö GIK (W)	3-2 HT 2-1	Malmo FF (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	25	22	2	1	80	16	68
2	Hammarby (W)	25	20	2	3	63	13	62
3	Malmo FF (W)	25	13	8	4	47	19	47
4	AIK (W)	25	13	4	8	47	36	43
5	Kristianstads (W)	25	11	5	9	44	39	38
6	Vittsjö GIK (W)	25	10	5	10	34	36	35
7	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	25	10	3	12	23	32	33
8	Brommapojkarna (W)	25	10	2	13	37	49	32
9	Djurgardens (W)	25	9	4	12	33	40	31
10	Pitea IF (W)	25	7	7	11	29	35	28
11	IFK Norrkoping (W)	25	6	9	10	27	38	27
12	FC Rosengård (W)	25	6	6	13	24	31	24
13	Vaxjo (W)	25	5	4	16	26	48	19
14	IK Uppsala (W)	25	1	3	21	16	98	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Malmo FF (W)	Vittsjö GIK (W)
Pitea IF (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Kristianstads (W)	2-1 W	3-1 W
FC Rosengård (W)	1-0 W	0-2 L
Brommapojkarna (W)	1-3 L	5-4 W
Djurgardens (W)	3-0 W	0-2 L
Eskilstuna Utd (W)	1-0 W	2-0 W
BK Hacken (W)	1-1 D	0-4 L
Vaxjo (W)	4-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Malmo FF (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Malmo FF (W)

WDWWLWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-1	4	1	D
02/11	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
24/10	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-1	3	0	W
17/10	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-1	3-2	2	3	W
04/10	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	9	1	W
27/09	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-3	8	1	L
18/09	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	3-0	9	1	W
12/09	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-0	9	1	W
06/09	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
29/08	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	4-0	8	1	W

Vittsjö GIK (W)

LWLDWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	3-1	5-4	6	2	W
31/10	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-2	0	3	L
25/10	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	8	1	L
17/10	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
03/10	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
26/09	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
19/09	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-2	7	2	D
13/09	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-4	3	2	L
05/09	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	5-0	5	3	W
29/08	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	1-3	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Malmo FF (W) vs Vittsjö GIK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Malmo FF (W) win (68%). Probabilities: Malmo FF (W) 68%, draw 19%, Vittsjö GIK (W) 14%.

How many goals are expected in Malmo FF (W) vs Vittsjö GIK (W)?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Malmo FF (W) 2.35 · Vittsjö GIK (W) 0.97), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Malmo FF (W) vs Vittsjö GIK (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.