Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 15/11, 14:00

Prediction: Brommapojkarna (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)

Team pages: Brommapojkarna (W) · FC Rosengård (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Brommapojkarna (W)1.07

FC Rosengård (W)1.58

1X2

26% 26% 49%

Brommapojkarna (W) Draw FC Rosengård (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Brommapojkarna (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLWLLL

FC Rosengård (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLWLDL

Head-to-head

Brommapojkarna (W) 3–3 FC Rosengård (W) (6 last)

FC Rosengård (W)1-2Brommapojkarna (W)
FC Rosengård (W)2-5Brommapojkarna (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)2-1FC Rosengård (W)
FC Rosengård (W)3-0Brommapojkarna (W)
Brommapojkarna (W)0-7FC Rosengård (W)
FC Rosengård (W)3-1Brommapojkarna (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brommapojkarna (W) 1525 · FC Rosengård (W) 1494

	Brommapojkarna (W)	Draw	FC Rosengård (W)
Our model	25%	27%	48%
Market	26%	24%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.2 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brommapojkarna (W)	FC Rosengård (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	0.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.3	2.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.70

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.75 → 3.40▼	Pinn 3.45
X	3.80 → 3.70▼	Pinn 4.10 ★
2	1.70 → 1.80▲	Pinn 1.81

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:16 +1’	3.75	3.80	1.70
06:16 +2’	3.40▼	3.70▼	1.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:18 +2’	3.19	3.80	1.97
18:23 +6’	3.45▲	4.10▲	1.81▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brommapojkarna (W) 3–0–3 FC Rosengård (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan	FC Rosengård (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Brommapojkarna (W)
28/09/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	FC Rosengård (W)	2-5 HT 0-2	Brommapojkarna (W)
17/05/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Rosengård (W)
06/09/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	FC Rosengård (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Brommapojkarna (W)
16/06/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Brommapojkarna (W)	0-7 HT 0-4	FC Rosengård (W)
15/09/23 Sweden Damallsvenskan	FC Rosengård (W)	3-1 HT 0-1	Brommapojkarna (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Hacken (W)	25	22	2	1	80	16	68
2	Hammarby (W)	25	20	2	3	63	13	62
3	Malmo FF (W)	25	13	8	4	47	19	47
4	AIK (W)	25	13	4	8	47	36	43
5	Kristianstads (W)	25	11	5	9	44	39	38
6	Vittsjö GIK (W)	25	10	5	10	34	36	35
7	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	25	10	3	12	23	32	33
8	Brommapojkarna (W)	25	10	2	13	37	49	32
9	Djurgardens (W)	25	9	4	12	33	40	31
10	Pitea IF (W)	25	7	7	11	29	35	28
11	IFK Norrkoping (W)	25	6	9	10	27	38	27
12	FC Rosengård (W)	25	6	6	13	24	31	24
13	Vaxjo (W)	25	5	4	16	26	48	19
14	IK Uppsala (W)	25	1	3	21	16	98	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brommapojkarna (W)	FC Rosengård (W)
Vittsjö GIK (W)	4-5 L	2-0 W
AIK (W)	2-5 L	0-2 L
Vaxjo (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Hammarby (W)	0-2 L	0-2 L
Malmo FF (W)	3-1 W	0-1 L
IK Uppsala (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
IFK Norrkoping (W)	2-0 W	1-2 L
Pitea IF (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brommapojkarna (W)

DWWWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-3	4-5	7	2	L
31/10	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	2-5	0	1	L
24/10	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
17/10	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
04/10	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	1	1	L
27/09	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	3-1	1	1	W
19/09	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
12/09	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
05/09	Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-0	9	0	W
30/08	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	6	0	D

FC Rosengård (W)

LWWLWLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-2	3	0	L
31/10	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	1-1	7	2	D
25/10	AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
17/10	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
04/10	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
27/09	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
20/09	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
12/09	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	11	0	W
05/09	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
29/08	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	0-1	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brommapojkarna (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Rosengård (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Brommapojkarna (W) 26%, draw 26%, FC Rosengård (W) 49%.

How many goals are expected in Brommapojkarna (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Brommapojkarna (W) 1.07 · FC Rosengård (W) 1.58), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Brommapojkarna (W) vs FC Rosengård (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.