Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 15/11, 14:00
Prediction: BK Hacken (W) vs Pitea IF (W)
Team pages: BK Hacken (W) · Pitea IF (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
BK Hacken (W)2.48
Pitea IF (W)0.8
1X2
BK Hacken (W)
Draw
Pitea IF (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
BK Hacken (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Pitea IF (W)
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
BK Hacken (W)
4–1–1
Pitea IF (W)
(6 last)
- Pitea IF (W)1-4BK Hacken (W)
- BK Hacken (W)1-0Pitea IF (W)
- Pitea IF (W)0-5BK Hacken (W)
- Pitea IF (W)0-0BK Hacken (W)
- BK Hacken (W)0-1Pitea IF (W)
- BK Hacken (W)3-1Pitea IF (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · BK Hacken (W) 1602 · Pitea IF (W) 1484
| BK Hacken (W) | Draw | Pitea IF (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 17% | 9% |
| Market | 74% | 15% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK Hacken (W) (rating 1602 vs 1484).
- H2H favours BK Hacken (W): 4-1-1.
- High corners: 14.5 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| BK Hacken (W) | Pitea IF (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 90/10/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 8.4 | 3.4 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 1.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Hacken (W) 4–1–1 Pitea IF (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Pitea IF (W) | 1-4 HT 1-2 | BK Hacken (W) |
| 16/11/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | BK Hacken (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Pitea IF (W) |
| 19/06/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Pitea IF (W) | 0-5 HT 0-2 | BK Hacken (W) |
| 31/08/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan | Pitea IF (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | BK Hacken (W) |
| 01/05/24 Sweden Cup Women | BK Hacken (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Pitea IF (W) |
| 27/04/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan | BK Hacken (W) | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Pitea IF (W) |
Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BK Hacken (W) | 25 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 80 | 16 | 68 |
| 2 | Hammarby (W) | 25 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 63 | 13 | 62 |
| 3 | Malmo FF (W) | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 47 |
| 4 | AIK (W) | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 36 | 43 |
| 5 | Kristianstads (W) | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 39 | 38 |
| 6 | Vittsjö GIK (W) | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 36 | 35 |
| 7 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 32 | 33 |
| 8 | Brommapojkarna (W) | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 49 | 32 |
| 9 | Djurgardens (W) | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 40 | 31 |
| 10 | Pitea IF (W) | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 28 |
| 11 | IFK Norrkoping (W) | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 38 | 27 |
| 12 | FC Rosengård (W) | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 31 | 24 |
| 13 | Vaxjo (W) | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 26 | 48 | 19 |
| 14 | IK Uppsala (W) | 25 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 98 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BK Hacken (W) | Pitea IF (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Djurgardens (W) | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Kristianstads (W) | 4-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Vaxjo (W) | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| IFK Norrkoping (W) | 6-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Vittsjö GIK (W) | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Malmo FF (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Rosengård (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: BK Hacken (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BK Hacken (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/11 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
3-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 23/10 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
6-0 | 9-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 19/09 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
Pitea IF (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 31/10 | Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Kristianstads (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 13/09 | AIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BK Hacken (W) vs Pitea IF (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a BK Hacken (W) win (74%). Probabilities: BK Hacken (W) 74%, draw 16%, Pitea IF (W) 10%.
How many goals are expected in BK Hacken (W) vs Pitea IF (W)?
The model expects 3.28 goals (BK Hacken (W) 2.48 · Pitea IF (W) 0.8), with a 57% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in BK Hacken (W) vs Pitea IF (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.