Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 01/08, 15:00

Prediction: Kristianstads (W) vs AIK (W)

Team pages: Kristianstads (W) · AIK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Kristianstads (W)1.72

AIK (W)1.52

1X2

42% 25% 33%

Kristianstads (W) Draw AIK (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kristianstads (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLLDWLWW

AIK (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWDWDWLW

Head-to-head

Kristianstads (W) 4–2 AIK (W) (6 last)

Kristianstads (W)0-3AIK (W)
AIK (W)2-0Kristianstads (W)
Kristianstads (W)2-1AIK (W)
Kristianstads (W)4-1AIK (W)
AIK (W)1-3Kristianstads (W)
AIK (W)2-6Kristianstads (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kristianstads (W) 1491 · AIK (W) 1559

	Kristianstads (W)	Draw	AIK (W)
Our model	42%	25%	33%
Market	41%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AIK (W) (rating 1491 vs 1559).
H2H favours Kristianstads (W): 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kristianstads (W)	AIK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.1	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.3	3.1 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.15▼	Bet365 2.15
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.45 → 2.70▲	Pinn 3.09 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:12 +5’	2.40	3.50	2.45
13:18 +4’	2.15▼	3.50	2.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:17	2.47	3.16	2.56
13:22	2.09▼	3.45▲	3.09▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristianstads (W) 4–0–2 AIK (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Kristianstads (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	AIK (W)
09/08/25 Sweden Damallsvenskan	AIK (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Kristianstads (W)
02/03/25 Sweden Cup Women	Kristianstads (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	AIK (W)
14/09/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	Kristianstads (W)	4-1 HT 2-0	AIK (W)
14/04/24 Sweden Damallsvenskan	AIK (W)	1-3 HT 1-2	Kristianstads (W)
10/09/22 Sweden Damallsvenskan	AIK (W)	2-6 HT 0-3	Kristianstads (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby (W)	12	10	1	1	26	6	31
2	BK Hacken (W)	11	10	0	1	26	10	30
3	Malmo FF (W)	12	6	3	3	22	9	21
4	AIK (W)	11	6	3	2	19	15	21
5	Vittsjö GIK (W)	12	5	2	5	12	13	17
6	Eskilstuna Utd (W)	11	5	2	4	9	10	17
7	Kristianstads (W)	11	4	3	4	18	23	15
8	Pitea IF (W)	11	4	2	5	12	14	14
9	Brommapojkarna (W)	11	4	0	7	15	22	12
10	Vaxjo (W)	11	3	2	6	16	18	11
11	FC Rosengård (W)	11	2	3	6	15	17	9
12	IFK Norrkoping (W)	12	1	6	5	10	17	9
13	Djurgardens (W)	11	2	2	7	6	20	8
14	IK Uppsala (W)	11	1	3	7	12	24	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kristianstads (W)	AIK (W)
Vaxjo (W)	4-0 W	3-3 D
Malmo FF (W)	0-6 L	2-2 D
IK Uppsala (W)	3-2 W	2-2 D
Vittsjö GIK (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
BK Hacken (W)	0-3 L	2-1 W
Hammarby (W)	0-1 L	1-4 L
FC Rosengård (W)	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kristianstads (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kristianstads (W)

LDDLLDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Vaxjo (W) Women’s Friendly	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
18/07	IFK Goteborg (W) Women’s Friendly	2-1	6-1	–	–	W
27/06	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	0-6	6	1	L
18/06	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	3-2	8	0	W
12/06	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
31/05	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
23/05	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
15/05	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-2	1	2	D
09/05	IFK Norrkoping (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-2	4	2	D
02/05	Brommapojkarna (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-3	2-3	7	1	L

AIK (W)

WLDWDWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/06	Eskilstuna Utd (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
17/06	Hammarby (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-3	1-4	9	1	L
13/06	Djurgardens (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	3-0	8	1	W
30/05	IK Uppsala (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-2	2-2	11	2	D
27/05	BK Hacken (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	2-1	7	3	W
23/05	Malmo FF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-0	2-2	8	3	D
17/05	Pitea IF (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
09/05	Vaxjo (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	2-1	3-3	8	2	D
02/05	Vittsjö GIK (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
05/04	FC Rosengård (W) Sweden Damallsvenskan	0-1	2-1	2	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kristianstads (W) vs AIK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kristianstads (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Kristianstads (W) 42%, draw 25%, AIK (W) 33%.

How many goals are expected in Kristianstads (W) vs AIK (W)?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Kristianstads (W) 1.72 · AIK (W) 1.52), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kristianstads (W) vs AIK (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.