Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 05/09, 20:35
Prediction: Galway (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)
Team pages: Galway (W) · FC Treaty United (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Galway (W)1.48
FC Treaty United (W)0.88
1X2
Galway (W)
Draw
FC Treaty United (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Galway (W)
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
FC Treaty United (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Galway (W)
3–3
FC Treaty United (W)
(6 last)
- FC Treaty United (W)0-2Galway (W)
- FC Treaty United (W)2-1Galway (W)
- Galway (W)1-3FC Treaty United (W)
- FC Treaty United (W)1-0Galway (W)
- Galway (W)4-1FC Treaty United (W)
- FC Treaty United (W)0-3Galway (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Galway (W) 1546 · FC Treaty United (W) 1507
| Galway (W) | Draw | FC Treaty United (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 29% | 21% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Galway (W) | FC Treaty United (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.6 | 2.8 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Galway (W) 3–0–3 FC Treaty United (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women | FC Treaty United (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Galway (W) |
| 30/08/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | FC Treaty United (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Galway (W) |
| 17/05/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Galway (W) | 1-3 HT 0-1 | FC Treaty United (W) |
| 05/10/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women | FC Treaty United (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Galway (W) |
| 04/09/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Galway (W) | 4-1 HT 2-1 | FC Treaty United (W) |
| 21/10/23 Republic of Ireland National League Women | FC Treaty United (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Galway (W) |
Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athlone Town (W) | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 12 | 41 |
| 2 | Shelbourne (W) | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 35 |
| 3 | Galway (W) | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 34 |
| 4 | Shamrock Rovers (W) | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 17 | 28 |
| 5 | FC Treaty United (W) | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 13 | 25 |
| 6 | Sligo Rovers (W) | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 23 |
| 7 | Wexford FC (W) | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 20 |
| 8 | Peamount Utd (W) | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 34 | 17 |
| 9 | Waterford FC (W) | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 12 |
| 10 | Bohemians Dublin (W) | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | 11 |
| 11 | DLR Waves (W) | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 11 |
| 12 | Cork City (W) | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 40 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Galway (W) | FC Treaty United (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Cork City (W) | 3-2 W | 5-0 W |
| Sligo Rovers (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Bohemians Dublin (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| DLR Waves (W) | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Shamrock Rovers (W) | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| Athlone Town (W) | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Shelbourne (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Peamount Utd (W) | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Treaty United (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Galway (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/08 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
3-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
FC Treaty United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Galway (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Galway (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Galway (W) 51%, draw 27%, FC Treaty United (W) 22%.
How many goals are expected in Galway (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Galway (W) 1.48 · FC Treaty United (W) 0.88), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Galway (W) vs FC Treaty United (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.