Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 12/09, 20:35

Prediction: Sligo Rovers (W) vs Shelbourne (W)

Team pages: Sligo Rovers (W) · Shelbourne (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Sligo Rovers (W)0.91

Shelbourne (W)2.03

1X2

15% 22% 63%

Sligo Rovers (W) Draw Shelbourne (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Sligo Rovers (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWDLLW

Shelbourne (W) 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WDDWDWWWWW

Head-to-head

Sligo Rovers (W) 0–2–4 Shelbourne (W) (6 last)

Shelbourne (W)2-2Sligo Rovers (W)
Shelbourne (W)8-0Sligo Rovers (W)
Sligo Rovers (W)1-3Shelbourne (W)
Sligo Rovers (W)0-5Shelbourne (W)
Sligo Rovers (W)0-4Shelbourne (W)
Shelbourne (W)0-0Sligo Rovers (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sligo Rovers (W) 1532 · Shelbourne (W) 1628

	Sligo Rovers (W)	Draw	Shelbourne (W)
Our model	15%	23%	62%
Market	16%	21%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shelbourne (W) (rating 1532 vs 1628).
H2H favours Shelbourne (W): 4-2-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sligo Rovers (W)	Shelbourne (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.2	2.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.5	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.4	3.2 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.75

X4.20

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.85

2 (-1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.75 → 5.75	Pinn 5.76
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.30 ★
2	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:30 +10’	5.75	4.20	1.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:38 +136’	5.76	4.30	1.39

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sligo Rovers (W) 0–2–4 Shelbourne (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shelbourne (W)	2-2 HT 1-0	Sligo Rovers (W)
30/08/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shelbourne (W)	8-0 HT 3-0	Sligo Rovers (W)
21/06/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Sligo Rovers (W)	1-3 HT 1-2	Shelbourne (W)
07/06/25 Women’s Friendly	Sligo Rovers (W)	0-5 HT 0-3	Shelbourne (W)
11/09/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Sligo Rovers (W)	0-4 HT 0-3	Shelbourne (W)
09/03/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shelbourne (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Sligo Rovers (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	17	14	2	1	40	13	44
2	Shelbourne (W)	17	11	5	1	34	14	38
3	Galway (W)	16	10	5	1	26	12	35
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	17	8	4	5	31	19	28
5	FC Treaty United (W)	17	7	5	5	22	13	26
6	Sligo Rovers (W)	17	7	5	5	31	25	26
7	Wexford FC (W)	16	6	5	5	27	21	23
8	Peamount Utd (W)	17	5	2	10	22	35	17
9	Bohemians Dublin (W)	17	3	5	9	17	28	14
10	Waterford FC (W)	17	2	6	9	14	33	12
11	DLR Waves (W)	17	3	2	12	9	28	11
12	Cork City (W)	17	1	2	14	11	43	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sligo Rovers (W)	Shelbourne (W)
Cork City (W)	3-0 W	3-0 W
Waterford FC (W)	1-2 L	3-0 W
Athlone Town (W)	2-3 L	1-1 D
Bohemians Dublin (W)	3-2 W	2-1 W
DLR Waves (W)	3-1 W	3-1 W
Wexford FC (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
FC Treaty United (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Shelbourne (W) (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sligo Rovers (W)

WDDWWWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
29/08	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-2	10	2	L
15/08	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	2-3	2	2	L
08/08	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
25/07	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-2	2	3	W
18/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/07	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
27/06	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
20/06	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	2-2	5	3	D
23/05	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	4-0	4-0	5	2	W

Shelbourne (W)

WDDWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-1	8	1	W
18/08	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
15/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
08/08	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	2-0	5	0	W
05/08	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	3-0	19	0	W
25/07	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
11/07	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-0	5	1	W
08/07	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
23/05	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-2	4-2	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sligo Rovers (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shelbourne (W) win (63%). Probabilities: Sligo Rovers (W) 15%, draw 22%, Shelbourne (W) 63%.

How many goals are expected in Sligo Rovers (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Sligo Rovers (W) 0.91 · Shelbourne (W) 2.03), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sligo Rovers (W) vs Shelbourne (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.