Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: FC Treaty United (W) vs Athlone Town (W)

Team pages: FC Treaty United (W) · Athlone Town (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

FC Treaty United (W)0.93

Athlone Town (W)1.73

1X2

19% 25% 56%

FC Treaty United (W) Draw Athlone Town (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Treaty United (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWLDWLWD

Athlone Town (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Treaty United (W) 1–1–4 Athlone Town (W) (6 last)

Athlone Town (W)1-0FC Treaty United (W)
FC Treaty United (W)1-1Athlone Town (W)
Athlone Town (W)0-1FC Treaty United (W)
Athlone Town (W)3-1FC Treaty United (W)
FC Treaty United (W)0-3Athlone Town (W)
FC Treaty United (W)1-2Athlone Town (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Treaty United (W) 1520 · Athlone Town (W) 1600

	FC Treaty United (W)	Draw	Athlone Town (W)
Our model	19%	26%	55%
Market	20%	24%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athlone Town (W) (rating 1520 vs 1600).
H2H favours Athlone Town (W): 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Treaty United (W)	Athlone Town (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.8	2.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.5	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.50

X3.70

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:41 +2’	4.50	3.70	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Treaty United (W) 1–1–4 Athlone Town (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Athlone Town (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Treaty United (W)
23/07/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Athlone Town (W)
24/05/25 Women’s Friendly	Athlone Town (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Treaty United (W)
19/04/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Athlone Town (W)	3-1 HT 0-1	FC Treaty United (W)
14/09/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	Athlone Town (W)
24/08/24 Republic of Ireland League Cup Women	FC Treaty United (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Athlone Town (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	17	14	2	1	40	13	44
2	Shelbourne (W)	17	11	5	1	34	14	38
3	Galway (W)	16	10	5	1	26	12	35
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	17	8	4	5	31	19	28
5	FC Treaty United (W)	17	7	5	5	22	13	26
6	Sligo Rovers (W)	17	7	5	5	31	25	26
7	Wexford FC (W)	16	6	5	5	27	21	23
8	Peamount Utd (W)	17	5	2	10	22	35	17
9	Bohemians Dublin (W)	17	3	5	9	17	28	14
10	Waterford FC (W)	17	2	6	9	14	33	12
11	DLR Waves (W)	17	3	2	12	9	28	11
12	Cork City (W)	17	1	2	14	11	43	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Treaty United (W)	Athlone Town (W)
Galway (W)	0-0 D	1-2 L
Bohemians Dublin (W)	1-0 W	3-0 W
Wexford FC (W)	2-4 L	3-0 W
Cork City (W)	5-0 W	3-0 W
Shelbourne (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Shamrock Rovers (W)	0-1 L	2-1 W
Peamount Utd (W)	2-0 W	2-0 W
Sligo Rovers (W)	1-1 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Athlone Town (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Treaty United (W)

DWDWLDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
29/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
15/08	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-2	2-4	6	2	L
08/08	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	4-0	5-0	11	1	W
25/07	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
18/07	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	9	1	L
11/07	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
27/06	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	9	2	D
20/06	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	11	0	W
23/05	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	4	2	D

Athlone Town (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	3-1	7	0	W
29/08	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
19/08	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
15/08	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	3-2	5	2	W
08/08	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
18/07	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
11/07	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
08/07	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
23/05	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Treaty United (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Athlone Town (W) win (56%). Probabilities: FC Treaty United (W) 19%, draw 25%, Athlone Town (W) 56%.

How many goals are expected in FC Treaty United (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?

The model expects 2.66 goals (FC Treaty United (W) 0.93 · Athlone Town (W) 1.73), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Treaty United (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.