Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Galway (W)

Team pages: Shamrock Rovers (W) · Galway (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

Shamrock Rovers (W)1.19

Galway (W)1.37

1X2

32% 28% 40%

Shamrock Rovers (W) Draw Galway (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Shamrock Rovers (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDWDWWLL

Galway (W) 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWDDWLDWWD

Head-to-head

Shamrock Rovers (W) 0–2–4 Galway (W) (6 last)

Galway (W)3-3Shamrock Rovers (W)
Shamrock Rovers (W)1-2Galway (W)
Galway (W)3-1Shamrock Rovers (W)
Galway (W)3-2Shamrock Rovers (W)
Shamrock Rovers (W)0-0Galway (W)
Galway (W)1-0Shamrock Rovers (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shamrock Rovers (W) 1527 · Galway (W) 1522

	Shamrock Rovers (W)	Draw	Galway (W)
Our model	31%	29%	40%
Market	33%	26%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Galway (W): 4-2-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shamrock Rovers (W)	Galway (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	1.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.6	2.2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.40

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:21 +22’	2.75	3.40	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shamrock Rovers (W) 0–2–4 Galway (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/07/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Galway (W)	3-3 HT 3-1	Shamrock Rovers (W)
09/08/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shamrock Rovers (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Galway (W)
05/07/25 Women’s Friendly	Galway (W)	3-1 HT 2-0	Shamrock Rovers (W)
29/03/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Galway (W)	3-2 HT 2-2	Shamrock Rovers (W)
17/08/24 Women’s Friendly	Shamrock Rovers (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Galway (W)
10/08/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Galway (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Shamrock Rovers (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	17	14	2	1	40	13	44
2	Shelbourne (W)	17	11	5	1	34	14	38
3	Galway (W)	16	10	5	1	26	12	35
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	17	8	4	5	31	19	28
5	FC Treaty United (W)	17	7	5	5	22	13	26
6	Sligo Rovers (W)	17	7	5	5	31	25	26
7	Wexford FC (W)	16	6	5	5	27	21	23
8	Peamount Utd (W)	17	5	2	10	22	35	17
9	Bohemians Dublin (W)	17	3	5	9	17	28	14
10	Waterford FC (W)	17	2	6	9	14	33	12
11	DLR Waves (W)	17	3	2	12	9	28	11
12	Cork City (W)	17	1	2	14	11	43	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shamrock Rovers (W)	Galway (W)
Athlone Town (W)	1-2 L	2-1 W
DLR Waves (W)	2-0 W	2-0 W
Waterford FC (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
FC Treaty United (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Galway (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shamrock Rovers (W)

WLLDWDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-2	8	0	L
29/08	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
15/08	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
08/08	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
25/07	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
18/07	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
12/07	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-3	3-3	2	2	D
27/06	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-3	2-4	7	3	L
20/06	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-3	3	4	L
26/05	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	9	2	W

Galway (W)

DWDDWLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
29/08	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-2	3-2	15	3	W
15/08	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
08/08	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
04/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
26/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
12/07	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-1	3-3	3	2	D
20/06	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
23/05	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
16/05	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Galway (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Galway (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Shamrock Rovers (W) 32%, draw 28%, Galway (W) 40%.

How many goals are expected in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Galway (W)?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Shamrock Rovers (W) 1.19 · Galway (W) 1.37), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers (W) vs Galway (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.