Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 12/09, 14:00

Prediction: Bohemians Dublin (W) vs Wexford FC (W)

Team pages: Bohemians Dublin (W) · Wexford FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Bohemians Dublin (W)1.36

Wexford FC (W)1.49

1X2

34% 27% 39%

Bohemians Dublin (W) Draw Wexford FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Bohemians Dublin (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDLLLWDLLW

Wexford FC (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWLWLWLW

Head-to-head

Bohemians Dublin (W) 3–2–1 Wexford FC (W) (6 last)

Wexford FC (W)1-1Bohemians Dublin (W)
Wexford FC (W)1-3Bohemians Dublin (W)
Wexford FC (W)1-1Bohemians Dublin (W)
Bohemians Dublin (W)3-0Wexford FC (W)
Bohemians Dublin (W)1-4Wexford FC (W)
Wexford FC (W)0-2Bohemians Dublin (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bohemians Dublin (W) 1452 · Wexford FC (W) 1504

	Bohemians Dublin (W)	Draw	Wexford FC (W)
Our model	34%	27%	39%
Market	34%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wexford FC (W) (rating 1452 vs 1504).
H2H favours Bohemians Dublin (W): 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bohemians Dublin (W)	Wexford FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.4	2.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.40

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
17:47 +15’	2.63	3.40	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bohemians Dublin (W) 3–2–1 Wexford FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Wexford FC (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Bohemians Dublin (W)
16/09/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Wexford FC (W)	1-3 HT 1-1	Bohemians Dublin (W)
31/08/25 Women’s Friendly	Wexford FC (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Bohemians Dublin (W)
22/03/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Bohemians Dublin (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Wexford FC (W)
28/09/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Bohemians Dublin (W)	1-4 HT 0-0	Wexford FC (W)
09/03/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Wexford FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Bohemians Dublin (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	17	14	2	1	40	13	44
2	Shelbourne (W)	17	11	5	1	34	14	38
3	Galway (W)	16	10	5	1	26	12	35
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	17	8	4	5	31	19	28
5	FC Treaty United (W)	17	7	5	5	22	13	26
6	Sligo Rovers (W)	17	7	5	5	31	25	26
7	Wexford FC (W)	16	6	5	5	27	21	23
8	Peamount Utd (W)	17	5	2	10	22	35	17
9	Bohemians Dublin (W)	17	3	5	9	17	28	14
10	Waterford FC (W)	17	2	6	9	14	33	12
11	DLR Waves (W)	17	3	2	12	9	28	11
12	Cork City (W)	17	1	2	14	11	43	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bohemians Dublin (W)	Wexford FC (W)
Peamount Utd (W)	1-0 W	5-2 W
FC Treaty United (W)	0-1 L	4-2 W
Shelbourne (W)	1-2 L	0-1 L
Sligo Rovers (W)	2-3 L	0-1 L
Athlone Town (W)	0-3 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Wexford FC (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bohemians Dublin (W)

DDLLLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
29/08	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
15/08	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-2	1	2	L
08/08	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	2-2	5	5	D
04/08	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
25/07	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-3	2-3	5	3	L
18/07	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-3	1	1	L
11/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
20/06	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-1	8	1	D
23/05	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	14	5	D

Wexford FC (W)

WDDWLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	2-0	6	0	W
18/08	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
15/08	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-2	4-2	4	2	W
08/08	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-3	3	2	L
25/07	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	3-1	7	2	W
11/07	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
27/06	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-1	4-2	3	3	W
20/06	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
23/05	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
16/05	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	5-2	9	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bohemians Dublin (W) vs Wexford FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wexford FC (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Bohemians Dublin (W) 34%, draw 27%, Wexford FC (W) 39%.

How many goals are expected in Bohemians Dublin (W) vs Wexford FC (W)?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Bohemians Dublin (W) 1.36 · Wexford FC (W) 1.49), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bohemians Dublin (W) vs Wexford FC (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.