Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 19/09, 20:35
Prediction: Shelbourne (W) vs Shamrock Rovers (W)
Team pages: Shelbourne (W) · Shamrock Rovers (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.75Total
Shelbourne (W)2.41
Shamrock Rovers (W)1.34
1X2
Shelbourne (W)
Draw
Shamrock Rovers (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Shelbourne (W)
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Shamrock Rovers (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shelbourne (W)
0–2–4
Shamrock Rovers (W)
(6 last)
- Shamrock Rovers (W)5-2Shelbourne (W)
- Shamrock Rovers (W)5-4Shelbourne (W)
- Shelbourne (W)1-2Shamrock Rovers (W)
- Shelbourne (W)1-2Shamrock Rovers (W)
- Shamrock Rovers (W)1-1Shelbourne (W)
- Shamrock Rovers (W)0-0Shelbourne (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shelbourne (W) 1583 · Shamrock Rovers (W) 1506
| Shelbourne (W) | Draw | Shamrock Rovers (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 20% | 19% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shelbourne (W) (rating 1583 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Shamrock Rovers (W): 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shelbourne (W) | Shamrock Rovers (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.3 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shelbourne (W) 0–2–4 Shamrock Rovers (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Shamrock Rovers (W) | 5-2 HT 0-1 | Shelbourne (W) |
| 11/10/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Shamrock Rovers (W) | 5-4 HT 4-2 | Shelbourne (W) |
| 15/08/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women | Shelbourne (W) | 1-2 | Shamrock Rovers (W) |
| 08/03/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Shelbourne (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Shamrock Rovers (W) |
| 12/10/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Shamrock Rovers (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Shelbourne (W) |
| 26/08/24 Republic of Ireland League Cup Women | Shamrock Rovers (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shelbourne (W) |
Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athlone Town (W) | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 14 | 47 |
| 2 | Shelbourne (W) | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 15 | 38 |
| 3 | Galway (W) | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 12 | 38 |
| 4 | Sligo Rovers (W) | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 29 |
| 5 | Shamrock Rovers (W) | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 28 |
| 6 | FC Treaty United (W) | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Wexford FC (W) | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 23 |
| 8 | Peamount Utd (W) | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 35 | 18 |
| 9 | Bohemians Dublin (W) | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 17 |
| 10 | DLR Waves (W) | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 29 | 14 |
| 11 | Waterford FC (W) | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 12 |
| 12 | Cork City (W) | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 43 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shelbourne (W) | Shamrock Rovers (W) |
|---|---|---|
| DLR Waves (W) | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Wexford FC (W) | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Peamount Utd (W) | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Treaty United (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Waterford FC (W) | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Athlone Town (W) | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Shelbourne (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shelbourne (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 18/08 | Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 05/08 | Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 19 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/07 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
Shamrock Rovers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shelbourne (W) vs Shamrock Rovers (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shelbourne (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Shelbourne (W) 59%, draw 22%, Shamrock Rovers (W) 19%.
How many goals are expected in Shelbourne (W) vs Shamrock Rovers (W)?
The model expects 3.75 goals (Shelbourne (W) 2.41 · Shamrock Rovers (W) 1.34), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Shelbourne (W) vs Shamrock Rovers (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.