Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: FC Treaty United (W) vs Peamount Utd (W)

Team pages: FC Treaty United (W) · Peamount Utd (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

FC Treaty United (W)1.68

Peamount Utd (W)1.21

1X2

47% 26% 26%

FC Treaty United (W) Draw Peamount Utd (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Treaty United (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLDWLWDL

Peamount Utd (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLLWLD

Head-to-head

FC Treaty United (W) 2–4 Peamount Utd (W) (6 last)

Peamount Utd (W)0-2FC Treaty United (W)
FC Treaty United (W)0-6Peamount Utd (W)
Peamount Utd (W)4-1FC Treaty United (W)
Peamount Utd (W)0-1FC Treaty United (W)
FC Treaty United (W)0-1Peamount Utd (W)
Peamount Utd (W)2-1FC Treaty United (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Treaty United (W) 1498 · Peamount Utd (W) 1461

	FC Treaty United (W)	Draw	Peamount Utd (W)
Our model	47%	26%	26%
Market	47%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Peamount Utd (W): 4-0-2.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Treaty United (W)	Peamount Utd (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	0.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.5	1.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	1.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.40

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:26 +40’	1.90	3.40	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Treaty United (W) 2–0–4 Peamount Utd (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Peamount Utd (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Treaty United (W)
27/09/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	0-6 HT 0-4	Peamount Utd (W)
10/05/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Peamount Utd (W)	4-1 HT 3-1	FC Treaty United (W)
12/10/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Peamount Utd (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Treaty United (W)
11/05/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	FC Treaty United (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Peamount Utd (W)
07/10/23 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Peamount Utd (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Treaty United (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	18	15	2	1	44	14	47
2	Shelbourne (W)	18	11	5	2	34	15	38
3	Galway (W)	17	11	5	1	27	12	38
4	Sligo Rovers (W)	18	8	5	5	32	25	29
5	Shamrock Rovers (W)	18	8	4	6	31	20	28
6	FC Treaty United (W)	18	7	5	6	23	17	26
7	Wexford FC (W)	17	6	5	6	27	22	23
8	Peamount Utd (W)	18	5	3	10	22	35	18
9	Bohemians Dublin (W)	18	4	5	9	18	28	17
10	DLR Waves (W)	18	4	2	12	11	29	14
11	Waterford FC (W)	18	2	6	10	15	35	12
12	Cork City (W)	18	1	3	14	11	43	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Treaty United (W)	Peamount Utd (W)
Athlone Town (W)	1-4 L	0-2 L
Bohemians Dublin (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Cork City (W)	5-0 W	0-0 D
Shelbourne (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Shamrock Rovers (W)	0-1 L	0-3 L
DLR Waves (W)	3-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Treaty United (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Treaty United (W)

WDWLDWLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	1-4	4	2	L
05/09	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
29/08	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
15/08	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-2	2-4	6	2	L
08/08	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	4-0	5-0	11	1	W
25/07	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
18/07	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	9	1	L
11/07	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
27/06	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	9	2	D
20/06	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	11	0	W

Peamount Utd (W)

LWLWLLLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-0	9	1	D
05/09	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
29/08	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-0	6	2	W
19/08	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
15/08	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
08/08	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	0-2	4	0	L
18/07	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	4-1	5-3	4	1	W
11/07	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
08/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
20/06	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-3	0-6	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Treaty United (W) vs Peamount Utd (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Treaty United (W) win (47%). Probabilities: FC Treaty United (W) 47%, draw 26%, Peamount Utd (W) 26%.

How many goals are expected in FC Treaty United (W) vs Peamount Utd (W)?

The model expects 2.89 goals (FC Treaty United (W) 1.68 · Peamount Utd (W) 1.21), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Treaty United (W) vs Peamount Utd (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.