Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 19/09, 19:00

Prediction: Wexford FC (W) vs Sligo Rovers (W)

Team pages: Wexford FC (W) · Sligo Rovers (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

Wexford FC (W)1.34

Sligo Rovers (W)1.36

1X2

36% 27% 37%

Wexford FC (W) Draw Sligo Rovers (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Wexford FC (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Sligo Rovers (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Wexford FC (W) 3–1–2 Sligo Rovers (W) (6 last)

Sligo Rovers (W)1-0Wexford FC (W)
Sligo Rovers (W)2-0Wexford FC (W)
Sligo Rovers (W)0-3Wexford FC (W)
Wexford FC (W)5-1Sligo Rovers (W)
Sligo Rovers (W)2-2Wexford FC (W)
Wexford FC (W)4-1Sligo Rovers (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wexford FC (W) 1489 · Sligo Rovers (W) 1546

	Wexford FC (W)	Draw	Sligo Rovers (W)
Our model	35%	28%	36%
Market	36%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sligo Rovers (W) (rating 1489 vs 1546).
H2H favours Wexford FC (W): 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wexford FC (W)	Sligo Rovers (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.6	1.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.40

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.45▲	Bet365 2.45
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.75 → 2.40▼	Pinn 2.46 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:53 +9’	2.15	3.40	2.75
14:08 +3’	2.45▲	3.40	2.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:11 +145’	2.05	3.24	3.04
12:46 +85’	2.45▲	3.23▼	2.46▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wexford FC (W) 3–1–2 Sligo Rovers (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Sligo Rovers (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Wexford FC (W)
04/04/26 Women’s Friendly	Sligo Rovers (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Wexford FC (W)
19/07/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Sligo Rovers (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	Wexford FC (W)
29/03/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Wexford FC (W)	5-1 HT 2-0	Sligo Rovers (W)
12/10/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Sligo Rovers (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Wexford FC (W)
04/05/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Wexford FC (W)	4-1 HT 1-0	Sligo Rovers (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	18	15	2	1	44	14	47
2	Shelbourne (W)	18	11	5	2	34	15	38
3	Galway (W)	17	11	5	1	27	12	38
4	Sligo Rovers (W)	18	8	5	5	32	25	29
5	Shamrock Rovers (W)	18	8	4	6	31	20	28
6	FC Treaty United (W)	18	7	5	6	23	17	26
7	Wexford FC (W)	17	6	5	6	27	22	23
8	Peamount Utd (W)	18	5	3	10	22	35	18
9	Bohemians Dublin (W)	18	4	5	9	18	28	17
10	DLR Waves (W)	18	4	2	12	11	29	14
11	Waterford FC (W)	18	2	6	10	15	35	12
12	Cork City (W)	18	1	3	14	11	43	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wexford FC (W)	Sligo Rovers (W)
Bohemians Dublin (W)	0-1 L	3-2 W
Shelbourne (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
FC Treaty United (W)	4-2 W	1-1 D
Athlone Town (W)	0-3 L	2-3 L
Cork City (W)	3-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sligo Rovers (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wexford FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
05/09	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	2-0	6	0	W
18/08	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
15/08	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-2	4-2	4	2	W
08/08	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-3	3	2	L
25/07	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	3-1	7	2	W
11/07	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
27/06	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-1	4-2	3	3	W
20/06	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
23/05	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	4	2	D

Sligo Rovers (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
05/09	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
29/08	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-2	10	2	L
15/08	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-2	2-3	2	2	L
08/08	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
25/07	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-0	3-2	2	3	W
18/07	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/07	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
27/06	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
20/06	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	2-2	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wexford FC (W) vs Sligo Rovers (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sligo Rovers (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Wexford FC (W) 36%, draw 27%, Sligo Rovers (W) 37%.

How many goals are expected in Wexford FC (W) vs Sligo Rovers (W)?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Wexford FC (W) 1.34 · Sligo Rovers (W) 1.36), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wexford FC (W) vs Sligo Rovers (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.