Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 19/09, 16:00
Prediction: Cork City (W) vs Waterford FC (W)
Team pages: Cork City (W) · Waterford FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Cork City (W)1.24
Waterford FC (W)1.68
1X2
Cork City (W)
Draw
Waterford FC (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Cork City (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Waterford FC (W)
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cork City (W)
1–1–1
Waterford FC (W)
(3 last)
- Waterford FC (W)0-0Cork City (W)
- Waterford FC (W)3-1Cork City (W)
- Cork City (W)4-2Waterford FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cork City (W) 1421 · Waterford FC (W) 1445
| Cork City (W) | Draw | Waterford FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 26% | 47% |
| Market | 28% | 26% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cork City (W) | Waterford FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.1 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cork City (W) 1–1–1 Waterford FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Waterford FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cork City (W) |
| 12/07/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Waterford FC (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Cork City (W) |
| 12/04/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women | Cork City (W) | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Waterford FC (W) |
Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athlone Town (W) | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 14 | 47 |
| 2 | Shelbourne (W) | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 15 | 38 |
| 3 | Galway (W) | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 12 | 38 |
| 4 | Sligo Rovers (W) | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 29 |
| 5 | Shamrock Rovers (W) | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 28 |
| 6 | FC Treaty United (W) | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Wexford FC (W) | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 23 |
| 8 | Peamount Utd (W) | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 35 | 18 |
| 9 | Bohemians Dublin (W) | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 17 |
| 10 | DLR Waves (W) | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 29 | 14 |
| 11 | Waterford FC (W) | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 12 |
| 12 | Cork City (W) | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 43 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cork City (W) | Waterford FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Peamount Utd (W) | 0-0 D | 3-5 L |
| Sligo Rovers (W) | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Galway (W) | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| DLR Waves (W) | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Shelbourne (W) | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Athlone Town (W) | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cork City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-4 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 05/08 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Waterford FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
1-4 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cork City (W) vs Waterford FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Waterford FC (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Cork City (W) 27%, draw 26%, Waterford FC (W) 47%.
How many goals are expected in Cork City (W) vs Waterford FC (W)?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Cork City (W) 1.24 · Waterford FC (W) 1.68), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cork City (W) vs Waterford FC (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.