Football · Republic of Ireland National League Women · 05/09, 19:00

Prediction: Wexford FC (W) vs Shamrock Rovers (W)

Team pages: Wexford FC (W) · Shamrock Rovers (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Wexford FC (W)1.31

Shamrock Rovers (W)1.75

1X2

28% 26% 46%

Wexford FC (W) Draw Shamrock Rovers (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Wexford FC (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Shamrock Rovers (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Wexford FC (W) 3–1–2 Shamrock Rovers (W) (6 last)

Wexford FC (W)0-1Shamrock Rovers (W)
Shamrock Rovers (W)2-4Wexford FC (W)
Wexford FC (W)2-1Shamrock Rovers (W)
Wexford FC (W)1-2Shamrock Rovers (W)
Shamrock Rovers (W)2-3Wexford FC (W)
Wexford FC (W)2-2Shamrock Rovers (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wexford FC (W) 1507 · Shamrock Rovers (W) 1538

	Wexford FC (W)	Draw	Shamrock Rovers (W)
Our model	28%	26%	47%
Market	28%	26%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Wexford FC (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wexford FC (W)	Shamrock Rovers (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.5	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	3.3 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.40

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.20▲	Pinn 3.25 ★
X	3.50 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40
2	2.00 → 1.91▼	Pinn 1.93

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 13% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:40 +9’	3.00	3.50	2.00
09:41 +11’	3.20▲	3.40▼	1.91▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:50 +2’	3.25	3.34	1.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wexford FC (W) 3–1–2 Shamrock Rovers (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women	Wexford FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Shamrock Rovers (W)
27/06/26 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shamrock Rovers (W)	2-4 HT 1-3	Wexford FC (W)
02/08/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Wexford FC (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Shamrock Rovers (W)
24/05/25 Women’s Friendly	Wexford FC (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Shamrock Rovers (W)
19/04/25 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Shamrock Rovers (W)	2-3 HT 1-1	Wexford FC (W)
05/10/24 Republic of Ireland National League Women	Wexford FC (W)	2-2 HT 2-0	Shamrock Rovers (W)

Standings · Republic of Ireland National League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athlone Town (W)	16	13	2	1	37	12	41
2	Shelbourne (W)	16	10	5	1	31	13	35
3	Galway (W)	15	10	4	1	26	12	34
4	Shamrock Rovers (W)	16	8	4	4	31	17	28
5	FC Treaty United (W)	16	7	4	5	22	13	25
6	Sligo Rovers (W)	16	6	5	5	28	25	23
7	Wexford FC (W)	15	5	5	5	25	21	20
8	Peamount Utd (W)	16	5	2	9	22	34	17
9	Waterford FC (W)	16	2	6	8	13	30	12
10	Bohemians Dublin (W)	16	2	5	9	16	28	11
11	DLR Waves (W)	16	3	2	11	8	25	11
12	Cork City (W)	16	1	2	13	11	40	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wexford FC (W)	Shamrock Rovers (W)
FC Treaty United (W)	4-2 W	1-0 W
Athlone Town (W)	0-3 L	1-2 L
Peamount Utd (W)	5-2 W	3-0 W
DLR Waves (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Shamrock Rovers (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wexford FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/08	Shelbourne (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
15/08	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-2	4-2	4	2	W
08/08	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	0-3	3	2	L
25/07	Cork City (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	3-1	7	2	W
11/07	Sligo Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
27/06	Shamrock Rovers (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	3-1	4-2	3	3	W
20/06	Bohemians Dublin (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
23/05	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
16/05	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	2-0	5-2	9	1	W
02/05	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	1-1	4	2	D

Shamrock Rovers (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
15/08	Peamount Utd (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
08/08	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
25/07	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
18/07	FC Treaty United (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
12/07	Galway (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-3	3-3	2	2	D
27/06	Wexford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-3	2-4	7	3	L
20/06	Athlone Town (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-1	1-3	3	4	L
26/05	Waterford FC (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
23/05	DLR Waves (W) Republic of Ireland National League Women	1-0	2-0	13	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wexford FC (W) vs Shamrock Rovers (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shamrock Rovers (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Wexford FC (W) 28%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers (W) 46%.

How many goals are expected in Wexford FC (W) vs Shamrock Rovers (W)?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Wexford FC (W) 1.31 · Shamrock Rovers (W) 1.75), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wexford FC (W) vs Shamrock Rovers (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.