Prediction: St Patricks vs Galway United
Expected goals: 2.48 (St Patricks 1.81 · Galway United 0.67). The model gives 65% home, 22% draw, 13% away. Under 2.75 goals (54%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Over its last 10 matches, St Patricks sits at 4-2-4 (W-D-L), while Galway United arrives on a 2-4-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for St Patricks and 1 for Galway United, with 3 draws.
| St Patricks | Draw | Galway United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 24% | 12% |
| Market | 66% | 20% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours St Patricks: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Patricks | Galway United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.9 | 2.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Patricks 2–3–1 Galway United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Galway United | 2-2 HT 0-1 | St Patricks |
| 02/03/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | St Patricks | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Galway United |
| 19/09/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | St Patricks | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Galway United |
| 14/09/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup | St Patricks | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Galway United |
| 20/06/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Galway United | 3-1 HT 3-1 | St Patricks |
| 02/05/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | St Patricks | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Galway United |
Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 21 | 47 |
| 2 | Bohemians Dublin | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 40 |
| 3 | St Patricks | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 19 | 38 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 32 | 35 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 33 | 34 | 31 |
| 6 | Derry City | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 29 |
| 7 | Galway United | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 34 | 24 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 38 | 22 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 35 | 20 |
| 10 | Waterford FC | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 44 | 17 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St Patricks | Galway United |
|---|---|---|
| Bohemians Dublin | 0-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Sligo Rovers | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Shamrock Rovers | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Dundalk | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Derry City | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Shelbourne | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Waterford FC | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Patricks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/06 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/05 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 15/05 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 08/05 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 04/05 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Galway United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/05 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 24/04 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 16 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Patricks vs Galway United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a St Patricks win (65%). Probabilities: St Patricks 65%, draw 22%, Galway United 13%.
How many goals are expected in St Patricks vs Galway United?
The model expects 2.48 goals (St Patricks 1.81 · Galway United 0.67), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in St Patricks vs Galway United?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.