Prediction: Galway United vs Sligo Rovers
Expected goals: 2.97 (Galway United 1.89 · Sligo Rovers 1.08). The model gives 55% home, 25% draw, 20% away. Over 2.75 goals (50%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Galway United is 2-3-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Sligo Rovers 1-3-6 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Galway United won 2 and Sligo Rovers 4.
| Galway United | Draw | Sligo Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Sligo Rovers: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Galway United | Sligo Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2 | 0.8 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.1 | 2.7 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Galway United 2–0–4 Sligo Rovers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Sligo Rovers | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Galway United |
| 27/02/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Galway United | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sligo Rovers |
| 24/01/26 Europe Friendlies | Sligo Rovers | 6-0 HT 1-0 | Galway United |
| 22/09/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Galway United | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sligo Rovers |
| 23/06/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Sligo Rovers | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Galway United |
| 16/05/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Galway United | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sligo Rovers |
Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | Bohemians Dublin | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 43 |
| 3 | St Patricks | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 19 | 41 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 34 | 35 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 35 | 34 |
| 6 | Derry City | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 31 | 29 |
| 7 | Galway United | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 37 | 24 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 40 | 22 |
| 9 | Waterford FC | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 46 | 20 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 37 | 20 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Galway United | Sligo Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| St Patricks | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Shamrock Rovers | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Shelbourne | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Bohemians Dublin | 2-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sligo Rovers (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Galway United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/05 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
Sligo Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 19/06 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Galway United vs Sligo Rovers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Galway United win (55%). Probabilities: Galway United 55%, draw 25%, Sligo Rovers 20%.
How many goals are expected in Galway United vs Sligo Rovers?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Galway United 1.89 · Sligo Rovers 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Galway United vs Sligo Rovers?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.