Prediction: Waterford FC vs St Patricks
Expected goals: 2.83 (Waterford FC 1.48 · St Patricks 1.35). The model gives 39% home, 27% draw, 33% away. Under 2.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Waterford FC with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; St Patricks has piled up 5-1-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Waterford FC and 4 for St Patricks, with 2 draws.
Match keys
- H2H favours St Patricks: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Waterford FC | St Patricks | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.1 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.7 | 2.8 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Waterford FC 0–2–4 St Patricks
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | St Patricks | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Waterford FC |
| 20/03/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | St Patricks |
| 24/10/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | St Patricks | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Waterford FC |
| 03/08/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | St Patricks |
| 23/05/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | St Patricks | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Waterford FC |
| 28/03/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | St Patricks |
Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | Bohemians Dublin | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 43 |
| 3 | St Patricks | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 19 | 41 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 34 | 35 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 35 | 34 |
| 6 | Derry City | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 31 | 29 |
| 7 | Galway United | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 37 | 24 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 40 | 22 |
| 9 | Waterford FC | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 46 | 20 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 37 | 20 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Waterford FC | St Patricks |
|---|---|---|
| Derry City | 4-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Dundalk | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Shamrock Rovers | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Sligo Rovers | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Drogheda United | 3-3 D | 2-0 W |
| Shelbourne | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Waterford FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/06 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 22/05 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 15/05 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 04/05 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 5 | D |
St Patricks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
3-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 30/06 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/06 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/05 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 15/05 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 08/05 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Waterford FC vs St Patricks?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Waterford FC win (39%). Probabilities: Waterford FC 39%, draw 27%, St Patricks 33%.
How many goals are expected in Waterford FC vs St Patricks?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Waterford FC 1.48 · St Patricks 1.35), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Waterford FC vs St Patricks?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.