Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 28/08, 20:45
Prediction: St Patricks vs Waterford FC
Team pages: St Patricks · Waterford FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
St Patricks1.64
Waterford FC1.29
1X2
St Patricks
Draw
Waterford FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
St Patricks
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Waterford FC
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
St Patricks
3–3–0
Waterford FC
(6 last)
- Waterford FC1-1St Patricks
- St Patricks4-1Waterford FC
- Waterford FC0-2St Patricks
- St Patricks1-1Waterford FC
- Waterford FC0-2St Patricks
- St Patricks2-2Waterford FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours St Patricks: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Patricks | Waterford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.3 | 3.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Patricks 3–3–0 Waterford FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | St Patricks |
| 08/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | St Patricks | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Waterford FC |
| 20/03/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | St Patricks |
| 24/10/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | St Patricks | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Waterford FC |
| 03/08/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | St Patricks |
| 23/05/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | St Patricks | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Waterford FC |
Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 54 |
| 2 | St Patricks | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 23 | 50 |
| 3 | Bohemians Dublin | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 34 | 47 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 43 | 37 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 36 | 38 | 34 |
| 6 | Derry City | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 38 | 37 | 33 |
| 7 | Galway United | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 41 | 33 |
| 8 | Waterford FC | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 48 | 29 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 45 | 28 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 45 | 23 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St Patricks | Waterford FC |
|---|---|---|
| Drogheda United | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Shelbourne | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Derry City | 1-1 D | 4-2 W |
| Dundalk | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Galway United | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Bohemians Dublin | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Sligo Rovers | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Shamrock Rovers | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: St Patricks (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Patricks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 02/08 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/07 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 10/07 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
3-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/06 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
Waterford FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 10/07 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/06 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Patricks vs Waterford FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a St Patricks win (45%). Probabilities: St Patricks 45%, draw 26%, Waterford FC 29%.
How many goals are expected in St Patricks vs Waterford FC?
The model expects 2.94 goals (St Patricks 1.64 · Waterford FC 1.29), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in St Patricks vs Waterford FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.