Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 28/08, 21:00

Prediction: Drogheda United vs Dundalk

Team pages: Drogheda United · Dundalk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Drogheda United1.55

Dundalk1.19

1X2

44% 28% 28%

Drogheda United Draw Dundalk

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Drogheda United 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

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Dundalk 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Drogheda United 1–4–1 Dundalk (6 last)

Dundalk1-2Drogheda United
Drogheda United1-1Dundalk
Dundalk1-1Drogheda United
Drogheda United1-1Dundalk
Dundalk1-0Drogheda United
Drogheda United0-0Dundalk

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Drogheda United	Dundalk
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.3	3.1 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.89

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:36

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.15 → 3.15	Pinn 3.15
X	3.64 → 3.64	Pinn 3.64
2	2.16 → 2.16	Pinn 2.16

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
07:32 +4’	3.15	3.64	2.16

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Drogheda United 1–4–1 Dundalk

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/07/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Dundalk	1-2 HT 1-0	Drogheda United
22/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Drogheda United	1-1 HT 0-1	Dundalk
20/02/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Dundalk	1-1 HT 0-0	Drogheda United
30/01/26 Club Friendly List	Drogheda United	1-1 HT 1-0	Dundalk
31/01/25 Europe Friendlies	Dundalk	1-0 HT 0-0	Drogheda United
01/11/24 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Drogheda United	0-0 HT 0-0	Dundalk

Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	27	16	6	5	43	24	54
2	St Patricks	28	14	8	6	45	23	50
3	Bohemians Dublin	28	13	8	7	47	34	47
4	Dundalk	28	9	10	9	43	43	37
5	Shelbourne	26	8	10	8	36	38	34
6	Derry City	28	7	12	9	38	37	33
7	Galway United	27	8	9	10	35	41	33
8	Waterford FC	28	6	11	11	37	48	29
9	Drogheda United	28	6	10	12	31	45	28
10	Sligo Rovers	28	5	8	15	23	45	23

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Drogheda United	Dundalk
St Patricks	0-2 L	1-1 D
Galway United	0-0 D	1-2 L
Shamrock Rovers	0-0 D	2-3 L
Sligo Rovers	2-2 D	1-1 D
Bohemians Dublin	0-2 L	2-1 W
Derry City	0-2 L	2-1 W
Shelbourne	2-2 D	1-2 L
Waterford FC	3-3 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 5 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Drogheda United (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Drogheda United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
07/08	Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
31/07	Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
25/07	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-2	2-2	9	3	D
10/07	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	2-1	5	2	W
03/07	Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
26/06	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
19/06	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-1	2-2	2	4	D
12/06	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
29/05	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-2	3-3	2	9	D

Dundalk

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	1-2	10	5	L
07/08	Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-3	2-3	7	8	L
31/07	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	1-1	10	4	D
24/07	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
10/07	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	1-2	10	2	L
03/07	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-2	1-2	5	9	L
26/06	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-1	2-3	6	3	L
19/06	Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
12/06	Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
29/05	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-1	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Drogheda United vs Dundalk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Drogheda United win (44%). Probabilities: Drogheda United 44%, draw 28%, Dundalk 28%.

How many goals are expected in Drogheda United vs Dundalk?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Drogheda United 1.55 · Dundalk 1.19), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Drogheda United vs Dundalk?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.