Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 21/08, 20:45
Prediction: Dundalk vs Galway United
Team pages: Dundalk · Galway United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Dundalk1.9
Galway United1.11
1X2
Dundalk
Draw
Galway United
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 65%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dundalk
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Galway United
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dundalk
2–2–2
Galway United
(6 last)
- Galway United0-1Dundalk
- Dundalk2-1Galway United
- Galway United2-2Dundalk
- Galway United1-1Dundalk
- Dundalk0-2Galway United
- Galway United2-0Dundalk
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dundalk 1515 · Galway United 1490
| Dundalk | Draw | Galway United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dundalk | Galway United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 8.1 | 2.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dundalk 2–2–2 Galway United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Galway United | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Dundalk |
| 17/04/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Dundalk | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Galway United |
| 06/03/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Galway United | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Dundalk |
| 04/10/24 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Galway United | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Dundalk |
| 02/08/24 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Dundalk | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Galway United |
| 24/05/24 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Galway United | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dundalk |
Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 54 |
| 2 | St Patricks | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | Bohemians Dublin | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 44 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 37 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 36 | 38 | 34 |
| 6 | Derry City | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 35 | 32 | 33 |
| 7 | Galway United | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 40 | 30 |
| 8 | Waterford FC | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 37 | 48 | 28 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 43 | 28 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 45 | 22 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dundalk | Galway United |
|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Sligo Rovers | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| St Patricks | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Drogheda United | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Waterford FC | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Bohemians Dublin | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dundalk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Castlebar Celtic Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
3-0 | 8-0 | 17 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 31/07 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 24/07 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 17/07 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 10/07 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 03/07 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 26/06 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
Galway United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 07/08 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 17/07 | Crumlin United Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/07 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dundalk vs Galway United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dundalk win (55%). Probabilities: Dundalk 55%, draw 24%, Galway United 21%.
How many goals are expected in Dundalk vs Galway United?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Dundalk 1.9 · Galway United 1.11), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Dundalk vs Galway United?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.