Football · USA MLS · 23/07, 01:30

Prediction: FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.04Total
FC Cincinnati1.74
Vancouver Whitecaps2.31
1X2
28% 22% 50%
FC Cincinnati Draw Vancouver Whitecaps
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
FC Cincinnati 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DDDWWDLDWW
Vancouver Whitecaps 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWWDDWLWWD
Head-to-head
FC Cincinnati 0–2–1 Vancouver Whitecaps (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Cincinnati 1541 · Vancouver Whitecaps 1579
FC CincinnatiDrawVancouver Whitecaps
Our model29%21%50%
Market27%23%49%
Estimated total (ours) 4.04 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC CincinnatiVancouver Whitecaps
Goals for / against (FT)3 / 2.32.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 11.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 43.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.24.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Cincinnati 021 Vancouver Whitecaps

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/06/23
USA MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps1-1
HT 0-0
FC Cincinnati
14/07/22
USA MLS
FC Cincinnati2-2
HT 2-1
Vancouver Whitecaps
04/08/19
USA MLS
FC Cincinnati1-2
HT 1-1
Vancouver Whitecaps

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 141022 341232
2 San Jose Earthquakes 151023 341532
3 Real Salt Lake 14824 261926
4 FC Dallas 15744 302225
5 Los Angeles FC 15735 241724
6 Seattle Sounders 13733 171124
7 Houston Dynamo 14716 192322
8 Minnesota United 15645 182222
9 LA Galaxy 15555 222220
10 San Diego FC 15456 302717
11 Colorado Rapids 15519 252416
12 St. Louis City SC 14446 162016
13 Portland Timbers 14428 222814
14 Austin FC 15357 193114
15 Sporting Kansas City 14329 143611

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC CincinnatiVancouver Whitecaps
San Diego FC 3-3 D 4-2 W
New York City FC 4-4 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Vancouver Whitecaps (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Cincinnati

DDDWWDLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Burnley
World Club Friendlies
1-1 3-1 51 W
24/05 Orlando City SC
USA MLS
2-1 6-2 65 W
17/05 San Diego FC
USA MLS
1-1 3-3 24 D
14/05 Inter Miami CF
USA MLS
1-1 3-5 15 L
10/05 Charlotte FC
USA MLS
2-0 2-2 45 D
03/05 Chicago Fire
USA MLS
2-2 3-2 15 W
26/04 New York Red Bulls
USA MLS
2-0 2-0 43 W
23/04 New York City FC
USA MLS
1-2 4-4 43 D
19/04 Chicago Fire
USA MLS
1-2 3-3 97 D
11/04 Toronto FC
USA MLS
0-0 1-1 45 D

Vancouver Whitecaps

WWWDDWLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/07 Cavalry FC
Canada Championships
0-0 1-1 73 D
09/07 Cavalry FC
Canada Championships
1-1 4-1 74 W
24/05 San Diego FC
USA MLS
2-0 4-2 46 W
17/05 Houston Dynamo
USA MLS
0-0 0-1 36 L
14/05 FC Dallas
USA MLS
2-1 3-2 67 W
10/05 San Jose Earthquakes
USA MLS
0-1 1-1 44 D
03/05 LA Galaxy
USA MLS
0-0 1-1 210 D
26/04 Colorado Rapids
USA MLS
2-1 3-1 82 W
18/04 Sporting Kansas City
USA MLS
3-0 3-0 63 W
12/04 New York City FC
USA MLS
1-0 2-0 122 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vancouver Whitecaps win (50%). Probabilities: FC Cincinnati 28%, draw 22%, Vancouver Whitecaps 50%.

How many goals are expected in FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The model expects 4.04 goals (FC Cincinnati 1.74 · Vancouver Whitecaps 2.31), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.