Prediction: Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire
| Inter Miami CF | Draw | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 21% | 29% |
| Market | 49% | 23% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Chicago Fire: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inter Miami CF | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 2 | 2.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.6 | 1.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Miami CF 2–1–3 Chicago Fire
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/25 USA MLS | Inter Miami CF | 3-5 HT 1-3 | Chicago Fire |
| 13/04/25 USA MLS | Chicago Fire | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Inter Miami CF |
| 01/09/24 USA MLS | Chicago Fire | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Inter Miami CF |
| 21/07/24 USA MLS | Inter Miami CF | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Chicago Fire |
| 05/10/23 USA MLS | Chicago Fire | 4-1 HT 0-0 | Inter Miami CF |
| 26/03/23 USA MLS | Inter Miami CF | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Chicago Fire |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 33 |
| 2 | Inter Miami CF | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 28 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 32 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 37 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 19 |
| 9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 23 | 16 |
| 11 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 14 |
| 12 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 44 | 14 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 29 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 7 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inter Miami CF | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati | 5-3 W | 2-3 L |
| Toronto FC | 4-2 W | 2-1 W |
| New York Red Bulls | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Inter Miami CF (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inter Miami CF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
4-4 | 6-4 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 18/05 | Portland Timbers USA MLS |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | FC Cincinnati USA MLS |
1-1 | 5-3 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Toronto FC USA MLS |
1-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Orlando City SC USA MLS |
3-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | New England Revolution USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 23/04 | Real Salt Lake USA MLS |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Colorado Rapids USA MLS |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 12/04 | New York Red Bulls USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 05/04 | Austin FC USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
Chicago Fire
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Toronto FC USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | CF Montreal USA MLS |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 14/05 | DC United USA MLS |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | New York Red Bulls USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | FC Cincinnati USA MLS |
2-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 30/04 | St. Louis City SC USA US Open Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Sporting Kansas City USA MLS |
0-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | FC Cincinnati USA MLS |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 15/04 | Detroit City FC USA US Open Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Atlanta United USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Miami CF win (49%). Probabilities: Inter Miami CF 49%, draw 22%, Chicago Fire 29%.
How many goals are expected in Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire?
The model expects 4.3 goals (Inter Miami CF 2.43 · Chicago Fire 1.87), with a 55% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.