Basketball · Greece Basket League · 31/10, 16:30

Prediction: Iraklis 2022 vs PAOK

Team pages: Iraklis 2022 · PAOK

Prediction summary

Estimated points

168.4Total

Iraklis 202280.5

PAOK87.9

1X2

30% 70%

Iraklis 2022 PAOK

Recent form · 10 last

Iraklis 2022 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

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PAOK 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Iraklis 2022 0–2 PAOK (2 last)

Iraklis 202272-76PAOK
PAOK84-82Iraklis 2022

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Iraklis 2022 1452 · PAOK 1593

	Iraklis 2022	PAOK
Our model	43%	57%
Market	27%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 168.4 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · +2.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points168.4Iraklis 2022 80.5 · PAOK 87.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PAOK (rating 1452 vs 1593).
PAOK is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours PAOK: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Iraklis 2022	PAOK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.2 / 88.1	86.8 / 82.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	79.8 / 82.6	84.2 / 81.2
Est. result	81	88

Est. total168.4

Line O/U165.5

Diff.2.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.50

21.29

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+7.5)1.87

2 (-7.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 165.51.87

Under 165.51.87

Diff.: 2.95 · Est. total: 168.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.29 → 1.29	Bet365 1.29

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.9%

Time*	1	2
20:45 +6’	3.50	1.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Iraklis 2022 0–0–2 PAOK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Greece Basket League	Iraklis 2022	72-76	PAOK
11/10/25 Greece Basket League	PAOK	84-82	Iraklis 2022

Standings · Greece Basket League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PAOK	4	4	0	327	304	8
2	Aris	4	3	1	318	261	7
3	Peristeri	4	3	1	343	353	7
4	Olympiacos	4	4	0	341	264	6
5	Panathinaikos	4	4	0	360	272	6
6	AS Karditsas	4	2	2	276	291	6
7	Kolossos Rhodes	4	2	2	338	332	6
8	AEK	4	2	2	295	302	6
9	Doxa Lefkadas	4	1	3	321	343	5
10	Promitheas	4	1	3	272	342	5
11	Iraklis 2022	4	1	3	314	316	5
12	AO Mykonou	4	1	3	318	339	5
13	Marousi	4	0	4	287	330	4
14	Vikos BC	4	0	4	286	347	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Iraklis 2022	PAOK
Doxa Lefkadas	86-94 L	86-73 W
Peristeri	89-91 L	77-72 W
Marousi	72-91 L	101-85 W
AEK	87-100 L	65-62 W
Kolossos Rhodes	85-98 L	88-84 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: PAOK (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Iraklis 2022

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Doxa Lefkadas Greece Basket League	86-94	L
17/10	AS Karditsas Greece Basket League	71-53	W
10/10	Peristeri Greece Basket League	89-91	L
04/10	Olympiacos Greece Basket League	68-78	L
25/04	Promitheas Greece Basket League	85-97	L
18/04	PAOK Greece Basket League	72-76	L
04/04	Panionios Greece Basket League	77-103	L
29/03	Marousi Greece Basket League	72-91	L
22/03	AEK Greece Basket League	87-100	L
15/03	Kolossos Rhodes Greece Basket League	85-98	L

PAOK

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	AEK Greece Basket League	65-62	W
17/10	Kolossos Rhodes Greece Basket League	88-84	W
10/10	Doxa Lefkadas Greece Basket League	86-73	W
03/10	AO Mykonou Greece Basket League	88-85	W
30/05	Panathinaikos Greece Basket League	94-102	L
28/05	Panathinaikos Greece Basket League	102-114	L
06/05	Peristeri Greece Basket League	77-72	W
03/05	Peristeri Greece Basket League	91-79	W
25/04	Marousi Greece Basket League	101-85	W
18/04	Iraklis 2022 Greece Basket League	76-72	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Iraklis 2022 vs PAOK?

Our model gives 70% to PAOK.

How many points are expected in Iraklis 2022 vs PAOK?

The model estimates 168.4 total points (Iraklis 2022 80.5 · PAOK 87.9).