Basketball · Greece Basket League · 08/11, 16:30
Prediction: Marousi vs Olympiacos
Team pages: Marousi · Olympiacos
Prediction summary
Estimated points
164.3Total
Marousi73.6
Olympiacos90.8
1X2
Marousi
Olympiacos
Recent form · 10 last
Marousi
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Olympiacos
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Marousi
0–6
Olympiacos
(6 last)
- Marousi67-91Olympiacos
- Olympiacos104-89Marousi
- Marousi81-100Olympiacos
- Marousi88-104Olympiacos
- Olympiacos106-94Marousi
- Olympiacos93-87Marousi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marousi 1416 · Olympiacos 1681
| Marousi | Olympiacos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 73% |
| Market | 7% | 93% |
Estimated total (ours)
164.3 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · -3.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points164.3Marousi 73.6 · Olympiacos 90.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olympiacos (rating 1416 vs 1681).
- Olympiacos is a clear favourite (89% market).
- H2H favours Olympiacos: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Marousi | Olympiacos | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.3 / 85.9 | 84.9 / 74 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 74.8 / 81.2 | 86.4 / 65.2 |
| Est. result | 74 | 91 |
Est. total164.3
Line O/U167.5
Diff.3.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marousi 0–0–6 Olympiacos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/26 Greece Cup | Marousi | 67-91 | Olympiacos |
| 17/01/26 Greece Basket League | Olympiacos | 104-89 | Marousi |
| 05/10/25 Greece Basket League | Marousi | 81-100 | Olympiacos |
| 17/03/25 Greece Basket League | Marousi | 88-104 | Olympiacos |
| 22/12/24 Greece Basket League | Olympiacos | 106-94 | Marousi |
| 11/02/24 Greece Basket League | Olympiacos | 93-87 | Marousi |
Standings · Greece Basket League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PAOK | 5 | 5 | 0 | 390 | 357 | 10 |
| 2 | Aris | 5 | 4 | 1 | 419 | 352 | 9 |
| 3 | Olympiacos | 5 | 5 | 0 | 432 | 326 | 8 |
| 4 | Peristeri | 5 | 3 | 2 | 405 | 444 | 8 |
| 5 | AS Karditsas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 357 | 356 | 8 |
| 6 | Kolossos Rhodes | 5 | 2 | 3 | 403 | 413 | 7 |
| 7 | Doxa Lefkadas | 5 | 2 | 3 | 394 | 402 | 7 |
| 8 | Panathinaikos | 5 | 4 | 1 | 451 | 373 | 7 |
| 9 | AEK | 5 | 2 | 3 | 379 | 397 | 7 |
| 10 | Marousi | 5 | 1 | 4 | 374 | 406 | 6 |
| 11 | AO Mykonou | 5 | 1 | 4 | 377 | 412 | 6 |
| 12 | Promitheas | 5 | 1 | 4 | 348 | 429 | 6 |
| 13 | Iraklis 2022 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 367 | 379 | 6 |
| 14 | Vikos BC | 5 | 1 | 4 | 381 | 431 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Marousi | Olympiacos |
|---|---|---|
| Promitheas | 87-76 W | 85-45 W |
| Peristeri | 81-83 L | 91-62 W |
| Kolossos Rhodes | 108-93 W | 99-83 W |
| Iraklis 2022 | 91-72 W | 78-68 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Olympiacos (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marousi
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Promitheas Greece Basket League |
87-76 | W |
| 24/10 | Peristeri Greece Basket League |
81-83 | L |
| 17/10 | Aris Greece Basket League |
57-74 | L |
| 10/10 | AO Mykonou Greece Basket League |
79-82 | L |
| 03/10 | AEK Greece Basket League |
70-91 | L |
| 25/04 | PAOK Greece Basket League |
85-101 | L |
| 18/04 | Kolossos Rhodes Greece Basket League |
108-93 | W |
| 29/03 | Iraklis 2022 Greece Basket League |
91-72 | W |
| 21/03 | AO Mykonou Greece Basket League |
94-103 | L |
| 14/03 | Peristeri Greece Basket League |
61-84 | L |
Olympiacos
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Peristeri Greece Basket League |
91-62 | W |
| 25/10 | Promitheas Greece Basket League |
85-45 | W |
| 18/10 | Vikos BC Greece Basket League |
79-68 | W |
| 11/10 | Kolossos Rhodes Greece Basket League |
99-83 | W |
| 04/10 | Iraklis 2022 Greece Basket League |
78-68 | W |
| 13/06 | Panathinaikos Greece Basket League |
89-85 | W |
| 10/06 | Panathinaikos Greece Basket League |
86-93 | L |
| 08/06 | Panathinaikos Greece Basket League |
102-92 | W |
| 05/06 | Panathinaikos Greece Basket League |
58-68 | L |
| 03/06 | Panathinaikos Greece Basket League |
82-76 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marousi vs Olympiacos?
Our model gives 89% to Olympiacos.
How many points are expected in Marousi vs Olympiacos?
The model estimates 164.3 total points (Marousi 73.6 · Olympiacos 90.8).