Basketball · Greece Basket League · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Promitheas vs AS Karditsas

Team pages: Promitheas · AS Karditsas

Prediction summary

Estimated points

158.6Total

Promitheas78.9

AS Karditsas79.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

Promitheas AS Karditsas

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Promitheas 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLWLL

AS Karditsas 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWWLLW

Head-to-head

Promitheas 3–3 AS Karditsas (6 last)

AS Karditsas95-79Promitheas
Promitheas91-62AS Karditsas
Promitheas85-65AS Karditsas
AS Karditsas75-74Promitheas
Promitheas80-76AS Karditsas
AS Karditsas70-64Promitheas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Promitheas 1416 · AS Karditsas 1494

	Promitheas	AS Karditsas
Our model	52%	48%
Market	47%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 158.6 points · Bet365 line 161.5 · -2.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points158.6Promitheas 78.9 · AS Karditsas 79.6

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Promitheas	AS Karditsas
Points F\|A (Last 10)	73.3 / 90.3	76.2 / 76.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	69.6 / 85.8	71.4 / 71.2
Est. result	79	80

Est. total158.6

Line O/U161.5

Diff.2.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.00

21.77

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.87

2 (-1.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 161.51.87

Under 161.51.87

Diff.: 3.15 · Est. total: 158.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
2	1.77 → 1.77	Pinn 1.97 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	2
12:37 +15’	2.00	1.77

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
12:43 +9’	1.85	1.97

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Promitheas 3–0–3 AS Karditsas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Greece Basket League	AS Karditsas	95-79	Promitheas
01/11/25 Greece Basket League	Promitheas	91-62	AS Karditsas
16/04/25 Greece Basket League	Promitheas	85-65	AS Karditsas
12/04/25 Greece Basket League	AS Karditsas	75-74	Promitheas
05/04/25 Greece Basket League	Promitheas	80-76	AS Karditsas
19/01/25 Greece Basket League	AS Karditsas	70-64	Promitheas

Standings · Greece Basket League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PAOK	5	5	0	390	357	10
2	Aris	5	4	1	419	352	9
3	Olympiacos	5	5	0	432	326	8
4	Peristeri	5	3	2	405	444	8
5	AS Karditsas	5	3	2	357	356	8
6	Kolossos Rhodes	5	2	3	403	413	7
7	Doxa Lefkadas	5	2	3	394	402	7
8	Panathinaikos	5	4	1	451	373	7
9	AEK	5	2	3	379	397	7
10	Marousi	5	1	4	374	406	6
11	AO Mykonou	5	1	4	377	412	6
12	Promitheas	5	1	4	348	429	6
13	Iraklis 2022	5	1	4	367	379	6
14	Vikos BC	5	1	4	381	431	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Promitheas	AS Karditsas
Panathinaikos	59-84 L	64-78 L
Iraklis 2022	97-85 W	53-71 L
PAOK	70-100 L	90-93 L
Kolossos Rhodes	76-98 L	81-65 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: AS Karditsas (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Promitheas

LLLLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Marousi Greece Basket League	76-87	L
25/10	Olympiacos Greece Basket League	45-85	L
17/10	Doxa Lefkadas Greece Basket League	80-79	W
10/10	Panathinaikos Greece Basket League	59-84	L
03/10	Peristeri Greece Basket League	88-94	L
25/04	Iraklis 2022 Greece Basket League	97-85	W
18/04	AS Karditsas Greece Basket League	79-95	L
04/04	Panathinaikos Greece Basket League	63-96	L
28/03	PAOK Greece Basket League	70-100	L
21/03	Kolossos Rhodes Greece Basket League	76-98	L

AS Karditsas

LWLWLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Kolossos Rhodes Greece Basket League	81-65	W
24/10	Panathinaikos Greece Basket League	64-78	L
17/10	Iraklis 2022 Greece Basket League	53-71	L
10/10	Vikos BC Greece Basket League	85-74	W
03/10	Aris Greece Basket League	74-68	W
25/04	Kolossos Rhodes Greece Basket League	80-91	L
18/04	Promitheas Greece Basket League	95-79	W
04/04	PAOK Greece Basket League	90-93	L
29/03	Panionios Greece Basket League	85-72	W
21/03	Aris Greece Basket League	55-78	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Promitheas vs AS Karditsas?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Promitheas 48% · AS Karditsas 52%).

How many points are expected in Promitheas vs AS Karditsas?

The model estimates 158.6 total points (Promitheas 78.9 · AS Karditsas 79.6).