Basketball · Mexico Liga ABE · 24/10, 02:00
Prediction: Tec Mty Santa Fe vs UP Mexico
Team pages: Tec Mty Santa Fe
Prediction summary
Estimated points
152.9Total
Tec Mty Santa Fe85.8
UP Mexico67.1
1X2
Tec Mty Santa Fe
UP Mexico
Recent form · 10 last
Tec Mty Santa Fe
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
UP Mexico
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tec Mty Santa Fe
2–1
UP Mexico
(3 last)
- Tec Mty Santa Fe83-71UP Mexico
- UP Mexico76-99Tec Mty Santa Fe
- UP Mexico83-68Tec Mty Santa Fe
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tec Mty Santa Fe 1579 · UP Mexico 1397
| Tec Mty Santa Fe | UP Mexico | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 83% | 17% |
| Market | 93% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
152.9 points · Bet365 line 153.5 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points152.9Tec Mty Santa Fe 85.8 · UP Mexico 67.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tec Mty Santa Fe (rating 1579 vs 1397).
- Tec Mty Santa Fe is a clear favourite (91% market).
- H2H favours Tec Mty Santa Fe: 2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Tec Mty Santa Fe | UP Mexico | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.7 / 73.1 | 66.3 / 80.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 89.6 / 78.4 | 63.8 / 79.6 |
| Est. result | 86 | 67 |
Est. total152.9
Line O/U153.5
Diff.0.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tec Mty Santa Fe 2–0–1 UP Mexico
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 Mexico Liga ABE | Tec Mty Santa Fe | 83-71 | UP Mexico |
| 22/03/25 Mexico Liga ABE | UP Mexico | 76-99 | Tec Mty Santa Fe |
| 27/02/20 Mexico Liga ABE | UP Mexico | 83-68 | Tec Mty Santa Fe |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tec Mty Santa Fe | UP Mexico |
|---|---|---|
| Tec Mty Puebla | 95-89 W | 77-80 L |
| Universidad Montrer | 82-57 W | 72-67 W |
| Tec Mty Monterrey | 70-58 W | 41-78 L |
| UANL | 76-57 W | 78-79 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Tec Mty Santa Fe (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tec Mty Santa Fe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | UACJ Mexico Liga ABE |
83-62 | W |
| 03/10 | UMAD Mexico Liga ABE |
98-88 | W |
| 03/10 | Tec Mty Puebla Mexico Liga ABE |
95-89 | W |
| 27/09 | Anahuac Queretaro Mexico Liga ABE |
90-96 | L |
| 26/09 | Universidad Montrer Mexico Liga ABE |
82-57 | W |
| 20/09 | Tec Mty Monterrey Mexico Liga ABE |
70-58 | W |
| 19/09 | UANL Mexico Liga ABE |
76-57 | W |
| 02/05 | Anahuac Queretaro Mexico Liga ABE |
78-82 | L |
| 30/04 | Tec Mty Toluca Mexico Liga ABE |
87-88 | L |
| 29/04 | UANL Mexico Liga ABE |
68-54 | W |
UP Mexico
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Tec Mty Monterrey Mexico Liga ABE |
41-78 | L |
| 17/10 | UANL Mexico Liga ABE |
78-79 | L |
| 03/10 | CEU Mexico Liga ABE |
45-80 | L |
| 25/09 | Tec Mty Puebla Mexico Liga ABE |
77-80 | L |
| 19/09 | Anahuac Xalapa Mexico Liga ABE |
78-81 | L |
| 11/04 | Universidad Interamericana Mexico Liga ABE |
64-74 | L |
| 11/04 | UPAEP Mexico Liga ABE |
63-84 | L |
| 21/03 | CEU Mexico Liga ABE |
69-85 | L |
| 20/03 | Tec Mty Monterrey Mexico Liga ABE |
76-99 | L |
| 14/03 | Universidad Montrer Mexico Liga ABE |
72-67 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tec Mty Santa Fe vs UP Mexico?
Our model gives 91% to Tec Mty Santa Fe.
How many points are expected in Tec Mty Santa Fe vs UP Mexico?
The model estimates 152.9 total points (Tec Mty Santa Fe 85.8 · UP Mexico 67.1).