Basketball · Mexico Liga ABE · 31/10, 21:30
Prediction: UP Mexico vs UPAEP
Prediction summary
Estimated points
146.8Total
UP Mexico70.5
UPAEP76.3
1X2
UP Mexico
UPAEP
Recent form · 10 last
UP Mexico
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
UPAEP
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UP Mexico
1–5
UPAEP
(6 last)
- UPAEP84-63UP Mexico
- UPAEP88-71UP Mexico
- UP Mexico69-76UPAEP
- UP Mexico74-77UPAEP
- UPAEP63-65UP Mexico
- UPAEP66-64UP Mexico
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UP Mexico 1402 · UPAEP 1554
| UP Mexico | UPAEP | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
146.8 points · Bet365 line 147.5 · -0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points146.8UP Mexico 70.5 · UPAEP 76.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UPAEP (rating 1402 vs 1554).
- UPAEP is a clear favourite (66% market).
- H2H favours UPAEP: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| UP Mexico | UPAEP | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 64 / 79.2 | 73.3 / 69.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 62.6 / 78.6 | 68 / 63.8 |
| Est. result | 71 | 76 |
Est. total146.8
Line O/U147.5
Diff.0.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · UP Mexico 1–0–5 UPAEP
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Mexico Liga ABE | UPAEP | 84-63 | UP Mexico |
| 05/04/25 Mexico Liga ABE | UPAEP | 88-71 | UP Mexico |
| 21/11/24 Mexico Liga ABE | UP Mexico | 69-76 | UPAEP |
| 16/02/24 Mexico Liga ABE | UP Mexico | 74-77 | UPAEP |
| 30/09/23 Mexico Liga ABE | UPAEP | 63-65 | UP Mexico |
| 25/02/23 Mexico Liga ABE | UPAEP | 66-64 | UP Mexico |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UP Mexico | UPAEP |
|---|---|---|
| Tec Mty Monterrey | 41-78 L | 60-76 L |
| UANL | 78-79 L | 69-70 L |
| CEU | 45-80 L | 41-33 W |
| Anahuac Xalapa | 78-81 L | 82-81 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: UPAEP (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UP Mexico
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Universidad Interamericana Mexico Liga ABE |
72-83 | L |
| 24/10 | Tec Mty Toluca Mexico Liga ABE |
50-72 | L |
| 24/10 | Tec Mty Santa Fe Mexico Liga ABE |
72-81 | L |
| 17/10 | Tec Mty Monterrey Mexico Liga ABE |
41-78 | L |
| 17/10 | UANL Mexico Liga ABE |
78-79 | L |
| 03/10 | CEU Mexico Liga ABE |
45-80 | L |
| 25/09 | Tec Mty Puebla Mexico Liga ABE |
77-80 | L |
| 19/09 | Anahuac Xalapa Mexico Liga ABE |
78-81 | L |
| 11/04 | Universidad Interamericana Mexico Liga ABE |
64-74 | L |
| 11/04 | UPAEP Mexico Liga ABE |
63-84 | L |
UPAEP
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | UDLAP Mexico Liga ABE |
69-76 | L |
| 22/10 | Anahuac Xalapa Mexico Liga ABE |
82-81 | W |
| 22/10 | Universidad Veracruzana Mexico Liga ABE |
77-73 | W |
| 17/10 | UANE Mexico Liga ABE |
71-56 | W |
| 17/10 | CEU Mexico Liga ABE |
41-33 | W |
| 02/10 | UACJ Mexico Liga ABE |
83-80 | W |
| 27/09 | UANL Mexico Liga ABE |
69-70 | L |
| 26/09 | Tec Mty Monterrey Mexico Liga ABE |
60-76 | L |
| 19/09 | Tec Mty Guadalajara Mexico Liga ABE |
86-74 | W |
| 19/09 | CETYS Mexicali Mexico Liga ABE |
95-74 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UP Mexico vs UPAEP?
Our model gives 66% to UPAEP.
How many points are expected in UP Mexico vs UPAEP?
The model estimates 146.8 total points (UP Mexico 70.5 · UPAEP 76.3).