Basketball · Mexico Liga ABE · 22/10, 21:00
Prediction: Anahuac Xalapa vs UPAEP
Team pages: UPAEP
Prediction summary
Estimated points
147.4Total
Anahuac Xalapa70.4
UPAEP77
1X2
Anahuac Xalapa
UPAEP
Recent form · 10 last
Anahuac Xalapa
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
UPAEP
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Anahuac Xalapa
0–2
UPAEP
(2 last)
- Anahuac Xalapa69-74UPAEP
- UPAEP83-77Anahuac Xalapa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anahuac Xalapa 1427 · UPAEP 1561
| Anahuac Xalapa | UPAEP | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
Estimated total (ours)
147.4 points · Bet365 line 145.5 · +1.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points147.4Anahuac Xalapa 70.4 · UPAEP 77
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UPAEP (rating 1427 vs 1561).
- UPAEP is a clear favourite (68% market).
- H2H favours UPAEP: 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Anahuac Xalapa | UPAEP | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 67.6 / 78.4 | 73.7 / 68.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 70.6 / 79.6 | 68.2 / 62.4 |
| Est. result | 70 | 77 |
Est. total147.4
Line O/U145.5
Diff.1.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anahuac Xalapa 0–0–2 UPAEP
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/26 Mexico Liga ABE | Anahuac Xalapa | 69-74 | UPAEP |
| 09/10/25 Mexico Liga ABE | UPAEP | 83-77 | Anahuac Xalapa |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Anahuac Xalapa | UPAEP |
|---|---|---|
| Tec Mty Guadalajara | 79-94 L | 86-74 W |
| Tec Mty Monterrey | 66-71 L | 60-76 L |
| UANE | 69-77 L | 71-56 W |
| CEU | 58-78 L | 41-33 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: UPAEP (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anahuac Xalapa
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Tec Mty Guadalajara Mexico Liga ABE |
79-94 | L |
| 01/10 | Tec Mty Monterrey Mexico Liga ABE |
66-71 | L |
| 27/09 | UANE Mexico Liga ABE |
69-77 | L |
| 26/09 | CEU Mexico Liga ABE |
58-78 | L |
| 19/09 | UP Mexico Mexico Liga ABE |
81-78 | W |
| 19/09 | UDLAP Mexico Liga ABE |
74-63 | W |
| 21/04 | Universidad Interamericana Mexico Liga ABE |
63-73 | L |
| 20/04 | UDLAP Mexico Liga ABE |
51-71 | L |
| 12/04 | Tec Mty Puebla Mexico Liga ABE |
70-89 | L |
| 28/03 | Universidad Montrer Mexico Liga ABE |
65-90 | L |
UPAEP
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Universidad Veracruzana Mexico Liga ABE |
77-73 | W |
| 17/10 | UANE Mexico Liga ABE |
71-56 | W |
| 17/10 | CEU Mexico Liga ABE |
41-33 | W |
| 02/10 | UACJ Mexico Liga ABE |
83-80 | W |
| 27/09 | UANL Mexico Liga ABE |
69-70 | L |
| 26/09 | Tec Mty Monterrey Mexico Liga ABE |
60-76 | L |
| 19/09 | Tec Mty Guadalajara Mexico Liga ABE |
86-74 | W |
| 19/09 | CETYS Mexicali Mexico Liga ABE |
95-74 | W |
| 03/05 | Tec Mty Toluca Mexico Liga ABE |
60-68 | L |
| 01/05 | Anahuac Queretaro Mexico Liga ABE |
95-77 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anahuac Xalapa vs UPAEP?
Our model gives 68% to UPAEP.
How many points are expected in Anahuac Xalapa vs UPAEP?
The model estimates 147.4 total points (Anahuac Xalapa 70.4 · UPAEP 77).