Basketball · China CBA · 20/10, 13:35

Prediction: Fujian Sturgeons vs Zhejiang Lions

Team pages: Fujian Sturgeons · Zhejiang Lions

Prediction summary

Estimated points

185.7Total

Fujian Sturgeons88.5

Zhejiang Lions97.1

1X2

27% 73%

Fujian Sturgeons Zhejiang Lions

Recent form · 10 last

Fujian Sturgeons 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWLWW

Zhejiang Lions 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLLWLW

Head-to-head

Fujian Sturgeons 0–6 Zhejiang Lions (6 last)

Zhejiang Lions84-65Fujian Sturgeons
Fujian Sturgeons80-98Zhejiang Lions
Zhejiang Lions115-88Fujian Sturgeons
Fujian Sturgeons95-121Zhejiang Lions
Fujian Sturgeons70-87Zhejiang Lions
Zhejiang Lions125-108Fujian Sturgeons

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fujian Sturgeons 1483 · Zhejiang Lions 1480

	Fujian Sturgeons	Zhejiang Lions
Our model	63%	37%
Market	19%	81%

Estimated total (ours) 185.7 points · Bet365 line 176.5 · +9.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points185.7Fujian Sturgeons 88.5 · Zhejiang Lions 97.1

Match keys

Zhejiang Lions is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours Zhejiang Lions: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fujian Sturgeons	Zhejiang Lions
Points F\|A (Last 10)	96.1 / 95.2	93.3 / 97.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	91 / 87.2	92.6 / 101.2
Est. result	89	97

Est. total185.7

Line O/U176.5

Diff.9.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.00

21.14

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+10.5)1.83

2 (-10.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 176.51.83

Under 176.51.83

Diff.: 14.45 · Est. total: 190.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	2
13:36 +10’	5.00	1.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fujian Sturgeons 0–0–6 Zhejiang Lions

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/12/25 China CBA	Zhejiang Lions	84-65	Fujian Sturgeons
18/12/25 China CBA	Fujian Sturgeons	80-98	Zhejiang Lions
13/12/24 China CBA	Zhejiang Lions	115-88	Fujian Sturgeons
06/12/24 China CBA	Fujian Sturgeons	95-121	Zhejiang Lions
05/10/24 Club Friendlies	Fujian Sturgeons	70-87	Zhejiang Lions
19/03/24 China CBA	Zhejiang Lions	125-108	Fujian Sturgeons

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Shanghai Sharks	1	1	0	102	68
2	Beijing Royal Fighters	1	1	0	95	71
3	Sichuan Blue Whales	1	1	0	97	85
4	Liaoning Flying Leopards	1	1	0	95	84
5	Guangzhou Long-Lions	1	1	0	90	79
6	Zhejiang Lions	1	1	0	115	109
7	Fujian Sturgeons	1	1	0	89	85
8	Beijing Ducks	1	1	0	84	82
9	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	1	1	0	82	80
10	Nanjing Monkey King	1	1	0	96	95
11	Guangdong Southern Tigers	1	0	1	95	96
12	Jilin Northeast Tigers	1	0	1	82	84
13	Qingdao Eagles	1	0	1	80	82
14	Jiangsu Dragons	1	0	1	85	89
15	Shanxi Loongs	1	0	1	109	115
16	Shandong Hi-Speed	1	0	1	84	95
17	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	1	0	1	79	90
18	Tianjin Pioneers	1	0	1	85	97
19	Ningbo Rockets	1	0	1	71	95
20	Shenzhen Leopards	1	0	1	68	102

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fujian Sturgeons

WLLLWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	89-85	W
24/04	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	93-91	W
20/04	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	94-101	L
18/04	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	95-83	W
16/04	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	84-76	W
13/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	98-97	W
10/04	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	116-119	L
07/04	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	103-112	L
05/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	87-96	L
03/04	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	102-92	W

Zhejiang Lions

WWLWLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	115-109	W
05/06	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	82-103	L
02/06	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	101-93	W
31/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	77-110	L
28/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	88-91	L
26/05	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	90-101	L
23/05	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	97-88	W
21/05	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	80-91	L
18/05	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	92-85	W
16/05	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	111-102	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fujian Sturgeons vs Zhejiang Lions?

Our model gives 73% to Zhejiang Lions.

How many points are expected in Fujian Sturgeons vs Zhejiang Lions?

The model estimates 185.7 total points (Fujian Sturgeons 88.5 · Zhejiang Lions 97.1).