Basketball · China CBA · 29/10, 13:00

Prediction: Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs Nanjing Monkey King

Team pages: Xinjiang Flying Tigers · Nanjing Monkey King

Prediction summary

Estimated points

188.8Total

Xinjiang Flying Tigers98.3

Nanjing Monkey King90.5

1X2

71% 29%

Xinjiang Flying Tigers Nanjing Monkey King

Recent form · 10 last

Xinjiang Flying Tigers 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWWLLL

Nanjing Monkey King 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLLLW

Head-to-head

Xinjiang Flying Tigers 4–2 Nanjing Monkey King (6 last)

Xinjiang Flying Tigers109-75Nanjing Monkey King
Xinjiang Flying Tigers94-87Nanjing Monkey King
Nanjing Monkey King98-97Xinjiang Flying Tigers
Nanjing Monkey King108-113Xinjiang Flying Tigers
Xinjiang Flying Tigers118-111Nanjing Monkey King
Nanjing Monkey King113-106Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Xinjiang Flying Tigers 1452 · Nanjing Monkey King 1457

	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	Nanjing Monkey King
Our model	62%	38%
Market	73%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 188.8 points · Bet365 line 183.5 · +5.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points188.8Xinjiang Flying Tigers 98.3 · Nanjing Monkey King 90.5

Match keys

Xinjiang Flying Tigers is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours Xinjiang Flying Tigers: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	Nanjing Monkey King
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.7 / 92.4	89.1 / 99.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	86.8 / 88	89 / 99.4
Est. result	98	91

Est. total188.8

Line O/U183.5

Diff.5.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.28

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-9.5)1.80

2 (+9.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 183.51.83

Under 183.51.83

Diff.: 2.45 · Est. total: 185.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.93 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	2
14:48 +3’	1.28	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:43 +6’	1.22	3.63
16:36 +11’	1.19▼	3.93▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Xinjiang Flying Tigers 4–0–2 Nanjing Monkey King

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 China CBA	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	109-75	Nanjing Monkey King
28/03/26 China CBA	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	94-87	Nanjing Monkey King
27/01/26 China CBA	Nanjing Monkey King	98-97	Xinjiang Flying Tigers
07/04/25 China CBA	Nanjing Monkey King	108-113	Xinjiang Flying Tigers
04/04/25 China CBA	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	118-111	Nanjing Monkey King
12/01/25 China CBA	Nanjing Monkey King	113-106	Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	5	5	0	520	387
2	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	5	4	1	428	369
3	Shanghai Sharks	5	4	1	492	439
4	Liaoning Flying Leopards	5	4	1	478	447
5	Guangzhou Long-Lions	5	3	2	454	469
6	Jilin Northeast Tigers	5	3	2	426	415
7	Beijing Royal Fighters	5	3	2	473	419
8	Zhejiang Lions	5	3	2	463	465
9	Nanjing Monkey King	5	2	3	445	497
10	Qingdao Eagles	5	2	3	448	437
11	Shandong Hi-Speed	5	2	3	462	477
12	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	5	2	3	434	440
13	Guangdong Southern Tigers	5	2	3	442	446
14	Sichuan Blue Whales	5	2	3	411	459
15	Shanxi Loongs	4	3	1	416	359
16	Fujian Sturgeons	5	2	3	445	442
17	Tianjin Pioneers	5	1	4	462	489
18	Jiangsu Dragons	5	1	4	415	450
19	Shenzhen Leopards	4	1	3	289	406
20	Ningbo Rockets	5	0	5	373	464

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	Nanjing Monkey King
Liaoning Flying Leopards	87-98 L	95-103 L
Jilin Northeast Tigers	83-89 L	98-81 W
Qingdao Eagles	82-80 W	80-101 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Nanjing Monkey King (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Xinjiang Flying Tigers

LLLWLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	75-81	L
25/10	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	87-98	L
22/10	Jilin Northeast Tigers China CBA	83-89	L
20/10	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	107-92	W
17/10	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	82-80	W
24/04	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	84-94	L
19/04	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	109-75	W
17/04	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	86-111	L
15/04	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	96-104	L
13/04	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	98-100	L

Nanjing Monkey King

WLLLLWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	91-81	W
25/10	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	80-101	L
23/10	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	97-106	L
20/10	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	81-114	L
18/10	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	96-95	W
24/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	96-116	L
19/04	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	75-109	L
17/04	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	82-91	L
15/04	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	95-103	L
13/04	Jilin Northeast Tigers China CBA	98-81	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs Nanjing Monkey King?

Our model gives 71% to Xinjiang Flying Tigers.

How many points are expected in Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs Nanjing Monkey King?

The model estimates 188.8 total points (Xinjiang Flying Tigers 98.3 · Nanjing Monkey King 90.5).