Basketball · China CBA · 20/10, 13:35

Prediction: Ningbo Rockets vs Shanxi Loongs

Team pages: Shanxi Loongs

Prediction summary

Estimated points

180.1Total

Ningbo Rockets84.4

Shanxi Loongs95.7

1X2

21% 79%

Ningbo Rockets Shanxi Loongs

Recent form · 10 last

Ningbo Rockets 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Shanxi Loongs 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Ningbo Rockets 1–5 Shanxi Loongs (6 last)

Ningbo Rockets97-84Shanxi Loongs
Shanxi Loongs95-87Ningbo Rockets
Ningbo Rockets119-134Shanxi Loongs
Shanxi Loongs140-116Ningbo Rockets
Shanxi Loongs107-91Ningbo Rockets
Ningbo Rockets93-105Shanxi Loongs

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ningbo Rockets 1392 · Shanxi Loongs 1552

	Ningbo Rockets	Shanxi Loongs
Our model	40%	60%
Market	16%	84%

Estimated total (ours) 180.1 points · Bet365 line 173.5 · +6.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points180.1Ningbo Rockets 84.4 · Shanxi Loongs 95.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanxi Loongs (rating 1392 vs 1552).
Shanxi Loongs is a clear favourite (79% market).
H2H favours Shanxi Loongs: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ningbo Rockets	Shanxi Loongs
Points F\|A (Last 10)	81.6 / 85.9	94.4 / 93.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.4 / 77.2	89.2 / 95.2
Est. result	84	96

Est. total180.1

Line O/U173.5

Diff.6.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.75

21.12

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+11.5)1.83

2 (-11.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 173.51.83

Under 173.51.83

Diff.: 4.05 · Est. total: 177.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
2	1.12 → 1.12	Pinn 1.14 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
14:28 +18’	5.75	1.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:23 +23’	5.32	1.11
16:35 +10’	4.69▼	1.14▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ningbo Rockets 1–0–5 Shanxi Loongs

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/01/26 China CBA	Ningbo Rockets	97-84	Shanxi Loongs
16/12/25 China CBA	Shanxi Loongs	95-87	Ningbo Rockets
13/01/25 China CBA	Ningbo Rockets	119-134	Shanxi Loongs
01/12/24 China CBA	Shanxi Loongs	140-116	Ningbo Rockets
16/11/24 China CBA Club Cup	Shanxi Loongs	107-91	Ningbo Rockets
04/10/24 Club Friendlies	Ningbo Rockets	93-105	Shanxi Loongs

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Shanghai Sharks	1	1	0	102	68
2	Beijing Royal Fighters	1	1	0	95	71
3	Sichuan Blue Whales	1	1	0	97	85
4	Liaoning Flying Leopards	1	1	0	95	84
5	Guangzhou Long-Lions	1	1	0	90	79
6	Zhejiang Lions	1	1	0	115	109
7	Fujian Sturgeons	1	1	0	89	85
8	Beijing Ducks	1	1	0	84	82
9	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	1	1	0	82	80
10	Nanjing Monkey King	1	1	0	96	95
11	Guangdong Southern Tigers	1	0	1	95	96
12	Jilin Northeast Tigers	1	0	1	82	84
13	Qingdao Eagles	1	0	1	80	82
14	Jiangsu Dragons	1	0	1	85	89
15	Shanxi Loongs	1	0	1	109	115
16	Shandong Hi-Speed	1	0	1	84	95
17	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	1	0	1	79	90
18	Tianjin Pioneers	1	0	1	85	97
19	Ningbo Rockets	1	0	1	71	95
20	Shenzhen Leopards	1	0	1	68	102

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ningbo Rockets	Shanxi Loongs
Guangdong Southern Tigers	74-77 L	106-96 W
Qingdao Eagles	77-78 L	97-94 W
Zhejiang Lions	85-93 L	109-115 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Shanxi Loongs (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ningbo Rockets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA	71-95	L
02/05	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	81-83	L
29/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	57-65	L
24/04	Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA	94-78	W
20/04	Jilin Northeast Tigers China CBA	84-65	W
17/04	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	96-106	L
14/04	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	74-77	L
12/04	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	77-78	L
10/04	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	85-93	L
08/04	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	97-119	L

Shanxi Loongs

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	109-115	L
13/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	67-91	L
10/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	81-86	L
07/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	92-90	W
02/05	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	97-94	W
29/04	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	90-86	W
24/04	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	116-96	W
20/04	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	106-96	W
18/04	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	86-87	L
15/04	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	100-91	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ningbo Rockets vs Shanxi Loongs?

Our model gives 79% to Shanxi Loongs.

How many points are expected in Ningbo Rockets vs Shanxi Loongs?

The model estimates 180.1 total points (Ningbo Rockets 84.4 · Shanxi Loongs 95.7).