Basketball · China CBA · 20/10, 14:00

Prediction: Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs Tianjin Pioneers

Team pages: Xinjiang Flying Tigers · Tianjin Pioneers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

191.7Total

Xinjiang Flying Tigers101.7

Tianjin Pioneers89.9

1X2

80% 20%

Xinjiang Flying Tigers Tianjin Pioneers

Recent form · 10 last

Xinjiang Flying Tigers 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLWLW

Tianjin Pioneers 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWLLLL

Head-to-head

Xinjiang Flying Tigers 5–1 Tianjin Pioneers (6 last)

Tianjin Pioneers100-98Xinjiang Flying Tigers
Xinjiang Flying Tigers106-101Tianjin Pioneers
Xinjiang Flying Tigers104-83Tianjin Pioneers
Tianjin Pioneers97-117Xinjiang Flying Tigers
Xinjiang Flying Tigers116-112Tianjin Pioneers
Tianjin Pioneers85-101Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Xinjiang Flying Tigers 1473 · Tianjin Pioneers 1461

	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	Tianjin Pioneers
Our model	64%	36%
Market	84%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 191.7 points · Bet365 line 175.5 · +16.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points191.7Xinjiang Flying Tigers 101.7 · Tianjin Pioneers 89.9

Match keys

Xinjiang Flying Tigers is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Xinjiang Flying Tigers: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	Tianjin Pioneers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	93 / 96.2	96.5 / 96.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	91.4 / 92.8	91.8 / 97.2
Est. result	102	90

Est. total191.7

Line O/U175.5

Diff.16.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.12

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-11.5)1.83

2 (+11.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 175.51.83

Under 175.51.83

Diff.: 15.7 · Est. total: 191.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.12 → 1.12	Bet365 1.12
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9% Pinnacle margin 8.9%

Time*	1	2
14:34 +12’	1.12	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:23 +23’	1.11	5.32
16:34 +12’	1.11▼	5.41▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Xinjiang Flying Tigers 5–0–1 Tianjin Pioneers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/04/26 China CBA	Tianjin Pioneers	100-98	Xinjiang Flying Tigers
08/04/26 China CBA	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	106-101	Tianjin Pioneers
18/12/24 China CBA	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	104-83	Tianjin Pioneers
01/11/24 China CBA	Tianjin Pioneers	97-117	Xinjiang Flying Tigers
25/08/24 China CBA Summer League	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	116-112	Tianjin Pioneers
16/08/24 China CBA Summer League	Tianjin Pioneers	85-101	Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Shanghai Sharks	1	1	0	102	68
2	Beijing Royal Fighters	1	1	0	95	71
3	Sichuan Blue Whales	1	1	0	97	85
4	Liaoning Flying Leopards	1	1	0	95	84
5	Guangzhou Long-Lions	1	1	0	90	79
6	Zhejiang Lions	1	1	0	115	109
7	Fujian Sturgeons	1	1	0	89	85
8	Beijing Ducks	1	1	0	84	82
9	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	1	1	0	82	80
10	Nanjing Monkey King	1	1	0	96	95
11	Guangdong Southern Tigers	1	0	1	95	96
12	Jilin Northeast Tigers	1	0	1	82	84
13	Qingdao Eagles	1	0	1	80	82
14	Jiangsu Dragons	1	0	1	85	89
15	Shanxi Loongs	1	0	1	109	115
16	Shandong Hi-Speed	1	0	1	84	95
17	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	1	0	1	79	90
18	Tianjin Pioneers	1	0	1	85	97
19	Ningbo Rockets	1	0	1	71	95
20	Shenzhen Leopards	1	0	1	68	102

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	Tianjin Pioneers
Qingdao Eagles	82-80 W	97-106 L
Shanghai Sharks	86-111 L	92-102 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Xinjiang Flying Tigers

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	82-80	W
24/04	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	84-94	L
19/04	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	109-75	W
17/04	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	86-111	L
15/04	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	96-104	L
13/04	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	98-100	L
11/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	86-93	L
08/04	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	106-101	W
06/04	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	97-102	L
04/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	86-102	L

Tianjin Pioneers

LWLWWWLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	85-97	L
24/04	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	93-103	L
20/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	84-96	L
17/04	Qingdao Eagles China CBA	97-106	L
15/04	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	100-84	W
13/04	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	100-98	W
11/04	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	111-86	W
08/04	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	101-106	L
06/04	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	102-89	W
03/04	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	92-102	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs Tianjin Pioneers?

Our model gives 80% to Xinjiang Flying Tigers.

How many points are expected in Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs Tianjin Pioneers?

The model estimates 191.7 total points (Xinjiang Flying Tigers 101.7 · Tianjin Pioneers 89.9).