Basketball · China CBA · 23/10, 13:35

Prediction: Beijing Royal Fighters vs Jiangsu Dragons

Team pages: Beijing Royal Fighters · Jiangsu Dragons

Prediction summary

Estimated points

179.5Total

Beijing Royal Fighters95.4

Jiangsu Dragons84.1

1X2

79% 21%

Beijing Royal Fighters Jiangsu Dragons

Recent form · 10 last

Beijing Royal Fighters 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWLLWL

Jiangsu Dragons 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWLLL

Head-to-head

Beijing Royal Fighters 4–2 Jiangsu Dragons (6 last)

Jiangsu Dragons89-88Beijing Royal Fighters
Beijing Royal Fighters100-105Jiangsu Dragons
Beijing Royal Fighters66-61Jiangsu Dragons
Jiangsu Dragons95-96Beijing Royal Fighters
Beijing Royal Fighters110-85Jiangsu Dragons
Jiangsu Dragons94-112Beijing Royal Fighters

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Beijing Royal Fighters 1467 · Jiangsu Dragons 1474

	Beijing Royal Fighters	Jiangsu Dragons
Our model	62%	38%
Market	84%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 179.5 points · Bet365 line 178.5 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points179.5Beijing Royal Fighters 95.4 · Jiangsu Dragons 84.1

Match keys

Beijing Royal Fighters is a clear favourite (79% market).
H2H favours Beijing Royal Fighters: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Beijing Royal Fighters	Jiangsu Dragons
Points F\|A (Last 10)	89.6 / 90.2	84 / 89.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	92.4 / 91.6	88.6 / 91.4
Est. result	95	84

Est. total179.5

Line O/U178.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.12

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-11.5)1.83

2 (+11.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 178.51.87

Under 178.51.80

Diff.: 2.05 · Est. total: 176.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.12 → 1.12	Bet365 1.12
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9%

Time*	1	2
16:39 +8’	1.12	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Beijing Royal Fighters 4–0–2 Jiangsu Dragons

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 China CBA	Jiangsu Dragons	89-88	Beijing Royal Fighters
15/01/26 China CBA	Beijing Royal Fighters	100-105	Jiangsu Dragons
26/08/25 China CBA Summer League	Beijing Royal Fighters	66-61	Jiangsu Dragons
13/03/25 China CBA	Jiangsu Dragons	95-96	Beijing Royal Fighters
17/01/25 China CBA	Beijing Royal Fighters	110-85	Jiangsu Dragons
29/12/24 China CBA	Jiangsu Dragons	94-112	Beijing Royal Fighters

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Shanghai Sharks	2	2	0	207	160
2	Guangzhou Long-Lions	2	2	0	204	160
3	Beijing Ducks	2	2	0	180	160
4	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	2	2	0	189	172
5	Liaoning Flying Leopards	2	2	0	192	177
6	Sichuan Blue Whales	2	2	0	188	173
7	Zhejiang Lions	2	2	0	214	203
8	Shanxi Loongs	2	1	1	212	188
9	Beijing Royal Fighters	2	1	1	187	176
10	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	2	1	1	168	165
11	Fujian Sturgeons	2	1	1	183	184
12	Shenzhen Leopards	2	1	1	157	183
13	Nanjing Monkey King	2	1	1	177	209
14	Jilin Northeast Tigers	2	0	2	170	175
15	Qingdao Eagles	2	0	2	173	179
16	Jiangsu Dragons	2	0	2	166	178
17	Guangdong Southern Tigers	2	0	2	173	192
18	Shandong Hi-Speed	2	0	2	159	184
19	Tianjin Pioneers	2	0	2	177	204
20	Ningbo Rockets	2	0	2	144	198

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Beijing Royal Fighters	Jiangsu Dragons
Sichuan Blue Whales	93-71 W	101-85 W
Shanxi Loongs	102-89 W	87-86 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Beijing Royal Fighters (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Beijing Royal Fighters

LLLWWWLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/10	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	92-105	L
17/10	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	95-71	W
24/04	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	78-94	L
19/04	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	104-117	L
17/04	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	93-71	W
15/04	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	87-81	W
13/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	102-89	W
10/04	Beijing Ducks China CBA	65-84	L
08/04	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	92-101	L
06/04	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	88-89	L

Jiangsu Dragons

WLLLLWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/10	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	81-89	L
17/10	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	85-89	L
24/04	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	89-108	L
20/04	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	101-85	W
18/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	87-86	W
16/04	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	76-84	L
13/04	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	67-80	L
11/04	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	88-93	L
09/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	77-89	L
06/04	Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA	89-88	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Beijing Royal Fighters vs Jiangsu Dragons?

Our model gives 79% to Beijing Royal Fighters.

How many points are expected in Beijing Royal Fighters vs Jiangsu Dragons?

The model estimates 179.5 total points (Beijing Royal Fighters 95.4 · Jiangsu Dragons 84.1).