Basketball · China CBA · 02/11, 12:35

Prediction: Guangdong Southern Tigers vs Qingdao Eagles

Team pages: Guangdong Southern Tigers · Qingdao Eagles

Prediction summary

Estimated points

178.3Total

Guangdong Southern Tigers91.8

Qingdao Eagles86.4

1X2

65% 35%

Guangdong Southern Tigers Qingdao Eagles

Recent form · 10 last

Guangdong Southern Tigers 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWWLWL

Qingdao Eagles 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLWWLL

Head-to-head

Guangdong Southern Tigers 5–1 Qingdao Eagles (6 last)

Qingdao Eagles105-110Guangdong Southern Tigers
Guangdong Southern Tigers89-80Qingdao Eagles
Guangdong Southern Tigers105-96Qingdao Eagles
Qingdao Eagles113-118Guangdong Southern Tigers
Guangdong Southern Tigers99-109Qingdao Eagles
Qingdao Eagles109-111Guangdong Southern Tigers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guangdong Southern Tigers 1490 · Qingdao Eagles 1460

	Guangdong Southern Tigers	Qingdao Eagles
Our model	67%	33%
Market	64%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 178.3 points · Bet365 line 174.5 · +3.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points178.3Guangdong Southern Tigers 91.8 · Qingdao Eagles 86.4

Match keys

Guangdong Southern Tigers is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours Guangdong Southern Tigers: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Guangdong Southern Tigers	Qingdao Eagles
Points F\|A (Last 10)	86.9 / 90	89.4 / 90.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.4 / 83.8	89.4 / 91.6
Est. result	92	86

Est. total178.3

Line O/U174.5

Diff.3.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.45

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.83

2 (+4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 174.51.83

Under 174.51.83

Diff.: 4.05 · Est. total: 178.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.2%

Time*	1	2
11:50 +2’	1.45	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangdong Southern Tigers 5–0–1 Qingdao Eagles

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/04/26 China CBA	Qingdao Eagles	105-110	Guangdong Southern Tigers
21/12/25 China CBA	Guangdong Southern Tigers	89-80	Qingdao Eagles
10/01/25 China CBA	Guangdong Southern Tigers	105-96	Qingdao Eagles
18/10/24 China CBA	Qingdao Eagles	113-118	Guangdong Southern Tigers
16/01/24 China CBA	Guangdong Southern Tigers	99-109	Qingdao Eagles
05/11/23 China CBA	Qingdao Eagles	109-111	Guangdong Southern Tigers

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	6	6	0	625	473
2	Beijing Royal Fighters	7	5	2	694	567
3	Shanghai Sharks	6	5	1	580	520
4	Fujian Sturgeons	7	4	3	642	618
5	Liaoning Flying Leopards	6	5	1	585	538
6	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	6	4	2	509	457
7	Guangdong Southern Tigers	7	3	4	600	611
8	Shandong Hi-Speed	7	3	4	637	655
9	Zhejiang Lions	6	4	2	558	557
10	Shanxi Loongs	6	4	2	612	547
11	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	7	3	4	602	629
12	Shenzhen Leopards	6	3	3	466	570
13	Jilin Northeast Tigers	6	3	3	507	497
14	Guangzhou Long-Lions	6	3	3	547	582
15	Qingdao Eagles	7	2	5	620	637
16	Nanjing Monkey King	6	2	4	528	581
17	Sichuan Blue Whales	6	2	4	475	574
18	Tianjin Pioneers	6	1	5	554	584
19	Jiangsu Dragons	6	1	5	495	532
20	Ningbo Rockets	6	0	6	464	571

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guangdong Southern Tigers	Qingdao Eagles
Beijing Ducks	78-96 L	86-105 L
Nanjing Monkey King	95-96 L	101-80 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guangdong Southern Tigers

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	76-85	L
29/10	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	82-80	W
26/10	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	87-99	L
24/10	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	86-77	W
22/10	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	96-78	W
20/10	Beijing Ducks China CBA	78-96	L
18/10	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	95-96	L
12/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	73-88	L
09/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	102-99	W
06/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	94-102	L

Qingdao Eagles

WLLLLLWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	86-95	L
29/10	Beijing Ducks China CBA	86-105	L
27/10	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	94-90	W
25/10	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	101-80	W
23/10	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	80-88	L
21/10	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	93-97	L
17/10	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	80-82	L
02/05	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	94-97	L
29/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	86-90	L
24/04	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	94-84	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guangdong Southern Tigers vs Qingdao Eagles?

Our model gives 65% to Guangdong Southern Tigers.

How many points are expected in Guangdong Southern Tigers vs Qingdao Eagles?

The model estimates 178.3 total points (Guangdong Southern Tigers 91.8 · Qingdao Eagles 86.4).