Basketball · China CBA · 16/10, 13:35

Prediction: Shanghai Sharks vs Shenzhen Leopards

Team pages: Shanghai Sharks · Shenzhen Leopards

Prediction summary

Estimated points

192.9Total

Shanghai Sharks103.7

Shenzhen Leopards89.2

1X2

85% 15%

Shanghai Sharks Shenzhen Leopards

Recent form · 10 last

Shanghai Sharks 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWLW

Shenzhen Leopards 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLLWL

Head-to-head

Shanghai Sharks 4–2 Shenzhen Leopards (6 last)

Shanghai Sharks101-92Shenzhen Leopards
Shenzhen Leopards107-97Shanghai Sharks
Shanghai Sharks115-93Shenzhen Leopards
Shenzhen Leopards99-103Shanghai Sharks
Shanghai Sharks94-84Shenzhen Leopards
Shenzhen Leopards121-111Shanghai Sharks

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shanghai Sharks 1570 · Shenzhen Leopards 1483

	Shanghai Sharks	Shenzhen Leopards
Our model	73%	27%
Market	88%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 192.9 points · Bet365 line 191.5 · +1.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points192.9Shanghai Sharks 103.7 · Shenzhen Leopards 89.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanghai Sharks (rating 1570 vs 1483).
Shanghai Sharks is a clear favourite (85% market).
H2H favours Shanghai Sharks: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Shanghai Sharks	Shenzhen Leopards
Points F\|A (Last 10)	94.9 / 83.8	97.3 / 94.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	99.6 / 87.6	92.2 / 94.2
Est. result	104	89

Est. total192.9

Line O/U191.5

Diff.1.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.06

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-14)1.83

2 (+14)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 191.51.83

Under 191.51.83

Diff.: 6.15 · Est. total: 185.35

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 08:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.06▼	Pinn 1.13 ★
2	4.20 → 8.00▲	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 6.7% Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	2
14:44 +3’	1.20	4.20
15:37 +10’	1.15▼	4.75▲
08:36 +10’	1.06▼	8.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
16:41 +5’	1.12	5.16
19:16 +31’	1.11▼	5.18▲
20:49 +59’	1.11	5.17▼
00:10 +35’	1.12▲	5.05▼
01:38 +8’	1.13▲	5.16▲
04:27 +19’	1.13▼	5.19▲
05:32 +13’	1.12▼	5.28▲
06:35 +10’	1.11▼	5.64▲
07:13 +32’	1.10▼	5.75▲
08:45	1.10▲	5.74▼
09:37 +8’	1.10▼	5.88▲
10:37 +8’	1.13▲	5.39▼
11:10 +36’	1.13	5.38▼
12:43 +3’	1.13▼	5.51▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Sharks 4–0–2 Shenzhen Leopards

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/01/26 China CBA	Shanghai Sharks	101-92	Shenzhen Leopards
13/01/26 China CBA	Shenzhen Leopards	107-97	Shanghai Sharks
31/03/25 China CBA	Shanghai Sharks	115-93	Shenzhen Leopards
18/12/24 China CBA	Shenzhen Leopards	99-103	Shanghai Sharks
16/11/24 China CBA Club Cup	Shanghai Sharks	94-84	Shenzhen Leopards
01/04/24 China CBA	Shenzhen Leopards	121-111	Shanghai Sharks

Standings · China CBA

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Shanghai Sharks	1	1	0	102	68
2	Shenzhen Leopards	1	0	1	68	102
3	Beijing Ducks	0	0	0	0	0
3	Beijing Royal Fighters	0	0	0	0	0
3	Fujian Sturgeons	0	0	0	0	0
3	Guangdong Southern Tigers	0	0	0	0	0
3	Guangzhou Long-Lions	0	0	0	0	0
3	Jiangsu Dragons	0	0	0	0	0
3	Jilin Northeast Tigers	0	0	0	0	0
3	Liaoning Flying Leopards	0	0	0	0	0
3	Nanjing Monkey King	0	0	0	0	0
3	Ningbo Rockets	0	0	0	0	0
3	Qingdao Eagles	0	0	0	0	0
3	Shandong Hi-Speed	0	0	0	0	0
3	Shanxi Loongs	0	0	0	0	0
3	Sichuan Blue Whales	0	0	0	0	0
3	Tianjin Pioneers	0	0	0	0	0
3	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	0	0	0	0	0
3	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	0	0	0	0	0
3	Zhejiang Lions	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shanghai Sharks	Shenzhen Leopards
Zhejiang Lions	103-82 W	88-97 L
Shandong Hi-Speed	96-68 W	95-103 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Shanghai Sharks (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shanghai Sharks

WWLWWWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/06	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	103-82	W
02/06	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	93-101	L
31/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	110-77	W
28/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	91-88	W
26/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	101-90	W
22/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	99-85	W
20/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	81-66	W
17/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	88-99	L
15/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	87-82	W
09/05	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	96-68	W

Shenzhen Leopards

WWLWWWLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	88-97	L
21/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	91-80	W
18/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	85-92	L
16/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	102-111	L
10/05	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	95-91	W
07/05	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	108-95	W
24/04	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	99-86	W
19/04	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	95-103	L
17/04	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	106-96	W
15/04	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	104-96	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shanghai Sharks vs Shenzhen Leopards?

Our model gives 85% to Shanghai Sharks.

How many points are expected in Shanghai Sharks vs Shenzhen Leopards?

The model estimates 192.9 total points (Shanghai Sharks 103.7 · Shenzhen Leopards 89.2).