Basketball · China CBA · 26/10, 12:35

Prediction: Ningbo Rockets vs Jilin Northeast Tigers

Team pages: Ningbo Rockets · Jilin Northeast Tigers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

167.6Total

Ningbo Rockets79.9

Jilin Northeast Tigers87.7

1X2

29% 71%

Ningbo Rockets Jilin Northeast Tigers

Recent form · 10 last

Ningbo Rockets 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Jilin Northeast Tigers 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Ningbo Rockets 2–4 Jilin Northeast Tigers (6 last)

Ningbo Rockets84-65Jilin Northeast Tigers
Jilin Northeast Tigers82-77Ningbo Rockets
Jilin Northeast Tigers116-114Ningbo Rockets
Ningbo Rockets108-106Jilin Northeast Tigers
Ningbo Rockets91-110Jilin Northeast Tigers
Jilin Northeast Tigers116-100Ningbo Rockets

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ningbo Rockets 1386 · Jilin Northeast Tigers 1397

	Ningbo Rockets	Jilin Northeast Tigers
Our model	61%	39%
Market	21%	79%

Estimated total (ours) 167.6 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · -1.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points167.6Ningbo Rockets 79.9 · Jilin Northeast Tigers 87.7

Match keys

Jilin Northeast Tigers is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours Jilin Northeast Tigers: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ningbo Rockets	Jilin Northeast Tigers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	78.3 / 85.3	76.7 / 91.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75.6 / 92.4	79.2 / 88.8
Est. result	80	88

Est. total167.6

Line O/U169.5

Diff.1.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.40

21.18

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+9.5)1.83

2 (-9.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 169.51.83

Under 169.51.83

Diff.: 3.45 · Est. total: 166.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.40 → 4.40	Bet365 4.40
2	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4%

Time*	1	2
11:48 +2’	4.40	1.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ningbo Rockets 2–0–4 Jilin Northeast Tigers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/26 China CBA	Ningbo Rockets	84-65	Jilin Northeast Tigers
22/12/25 China CBA	Jilin Northeast Tigers	82-77	Ningbo Rockets
02/01/25 China CBA	Jilin Northeast Tigers	116-114	Ningbo Rockets
06/12/24 China CBA	Ningbo Rockets	108-106	Jilin Northeast Tigers
01/02/24 China CBA	Ningbo Rockets	91-110	Jilin Northeast Tigers
10/12/23 China CBA	Jilin Northeast Tigers	116-100	Ningbo Rockets

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Shanghai Sharks	4	3	1	393	352
2	Beijing Ducks	3	3	0	300	222
3	Zhejiang Lions	4	2	2	373	381
4	Guangdong Southern Tigers	4	2	2	355	347
5	Jilin Northeast Tigers	4	2	2	341	339
6	Fujian Sturgeons	4	2	2	367	354
7	Liaoning Flying Leopards	3	3	0	296	270
8	Guangzhou Long-Lions	3	2	1	290	262
9	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	3	2	1	256	245
10	Shanxi Loongs	3	2	1	315	280
11	Beijing Royal Fighters	3	2	1	280	258
12	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	3	2	1	272	261
13	Sichuan Blue Whales	3	2	1	281	277
14	Shandong Hi-Speed	3	1	2	265	281
15	Nanjing Monkey King	3	1	2	274	315
16	Tianjin Pioneers	3	1	2	279	290
17	Shenzhen Leopards	3	1	2	219	303
18	Ningbo Rockets	4	0	4	297	379
19	Qingdao Eagles	3	0	3	253	267
20	Jiangsu Dragons	3	0	3	248	271

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ningbo Rockets	Jilin Northeast Tigers
Guangdong Southern Tigers	77-86 L	84-117 L
Zhejiang Golden Bulls	81-83 L	66-82 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ningbo Rockets (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ningbo Rockets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	77-86	L
22/10	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	76-95	L
20/10	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	73-103	L
17/10	Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA	71-95	L
02/05	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	81-83	L
29/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	57-65	L
24/04	Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA	94-78	W
20/04	Jilin Northeast Tigers China CBA	84-65	W
17/04	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	96-106	L
14/04	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	74-77	L

Jilin Northeast Tigers

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	82-81	W
22/10	Xinjiang Flying Tigers China CBA	89-83	W
20/10	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	88-91	L
18/10	Beijing Ducks China CBA	82-84	L
24/04	Beijing Ducks China CBA	55-105	L
20/04	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	65-84	L
18/04	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	75-93	L
16/04	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	66-82	L
13/04	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	81-98	L
10/04	Guangdong Southern Tigers China CBA	84-117	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ningbo Rockets vs Jilin Northeast Tigers?

Our model gives 71% to Jilin Northeast Tigers.

How many points are expected in Ningbo Rockets vs Jilin Northeast Tigers?

The model estimates 167.6 total points (Ningbo Rockets 79.9 · Jilin Northeast Tigers 87.7).