Basketball · China CBA · 26/10, 12:35

Prediction: Shanghai Sharks vs Guangdong Southern Tigers

Team pages: Shanghai Sharks · Guangdong Southern Tigers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

185.5Total

Shanghai Sharks97.1

Guangdong Southern Tigers88.5

1X2

73% 27%

Shanghai Sharks Guangdong Southern Tigers

Recent form · 10 last

Shanghai Sharks 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Guangdong Southern Tigers 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLLLWW

Head-to-head

Shanghai Sharks 5–1 Guangdong Southern Tigers (6 last)

Shanghai Sharks97-81Guangdong Southern Tigers
Shanghai Sharks113-104Guangdong Southern Tigers
Guangdong Southern Tigers84-94Shanghai Sharks
Guangdong Southern Tigers73-113Shanghai Sharks
Guangdong Southern Tigers115-92Shanghai Sharks
Shanghai Sharks104-103Guangdong Southern Tigers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shanghai Sharks 1594 · Guangdong Southern Tigers 1477

	Shanghai Sharks	Guangdong Southern Tigers
Our model	77%	23%
Market	73%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 185.5 points · Bet365 line 183.5 · +2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points185.5Shanghai Sharks 97.1 · Guangdong Southern Tigers 88.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanghai Sharks (rating 1594 vs 1477).
Shanghai Sharks is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours Shanghai Sharks: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Shanghai Sharks	Guangdong Southern Tigers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	99 / 87.5	87.5 / 87.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	99.2 / 86.8	85.6 / 87
Est. result	97	89

Est. total185.5

Line O/U183.5

Diff.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.28

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.83

2 (+7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 183.51.83

Under 183.51.83

Diff.: 2.85 · Est. total: 180.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7%

Time*	1	2
11:37 +13’	1.28	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Sharks 5–0–1 Guangdong Southern Tigers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/03/26 China CBA	Shanghai Sharks	97-81	Guangdong Southern Tigers
06/02/26 China CBA Club Cup	Shanghai Sharks	113-104	Guangdong Southern Tigers
03/02/26 China CBA	Guangdong Southern Tigers	84-94	Shanghai Sharks
15/01/26 China CBA	Guangdong Southern Tigers	73-113	Shanghai Sharks
11/04/25 China CBA	Guangdong Southern Tigers	115-92	Shanghai Sharks
08/04/25 China CBA	Shanghai Sharks	104-103	Guangdong Southern Tigers

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Shanghai Sharks	4	3	1	393	352
2	Beijing Ducks	3	3	0	300	222
3	Zhejiang Lions	4	2	2	373	381
4	Guangdong Southern Tigers	4	2	2	355	347
5	Jilin Northeast Tigers	4	2	2	341	339
6	Fujian Sturgeons	4	2	2	367	354
7	Liaoning Flying Leopards	3	3	0	296	270
8	Guangzhou Long-Lions	3	2	1	290	262
9	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	3	2	1	256	245
10	Shanxi Loongs	3	2	1	315	280
11	Beijing Royal Fighters	3	2	1	280	258
12	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	3	2	1	272	261
13	Sichuan Blue Whales	3	2	1	281	277
14	Shandong Hi-Speed	3	1	2	265	281
15	Nanjing Monkey King	3	1	2	274	315
16	Tianjin Pioneers	3	1	2	279	290
17	Shenzhen Leopards	3	1	2	219	303
18	Ningbo Rockets	4	0	4	297	379
19	Qingdao Eagles	3	0	3	253	267
20	Jiangsu Dragons	3	0	3	248	271

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shanghai Sharks	Guangdong Southern Tigers
Zhejiang Lions	103-82 W	96-78 W
Beijing Ducks	99-85 W	78-96 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Shanghai Sharks (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shanghai Sharks

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Fujian Sturgeons China CBA	94-89	W
22/10	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	92-103	L
19/10	Beijing Royal Fighters China CBA	105-92	W
16/10	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	102-68	W
05/06	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	103-82	W
02/06	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	93-101	L
31/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	110-77	W
28/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	91-88	W
26/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	101-90	W
22/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	99-85	W

Guangdong Southern Tigers

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	86-77	W
22/10	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	96-78	W
20/10	Beijing Ducks China CBA	78-96	L
18/10	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	95-96	L
12/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	73-88	L
09/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	102-99	W
06/05	Beijing Ducks China CBA	94-102	L
03/05	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	90-80	W
01/05	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	85-64	W
28/04	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	76-93	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shanghai Sharks vs Guangdong Southern Tigers?

Our model gives 73% to Shanghai Sharks.

How many points are expected in Shanghai Sharks vs Guangdong Southern Tigers?

The model estimates 185.5 total points (Shanghai Sharks 97.1 · Guangdong Southern Tigers 88.5).