Basketball · China CBA · 25/10, 12:35

Prediction: Shenzhen Leopards vs Beijing Royal Fighters

Team pages: Shenzhen Leopards · Beijing Royal Fighters

Prediction summary

Estimated points

188.6Total

Shenzhen Leopards91.6

Beijing Royal Fighters97

1X2

35% 65%

Shenzhen Leopards Beijing Royal Fighters

Recent form · 10 last

Shenzhen Leopards 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Beijing Royal Fighters 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLLWLW

Head-to-head

Shenzhen Leopards 2–4 Beijing Royal Fighters (6 last)

Shenzhen Leopards77-92Beijing Royal Fighters
Beijing Royal Fighters103-104Shenzhen Leopards
Shenzhen Leopards101-105Beijing Royal Fighters
Shenzhen Leopards91-105Beijing Royal Fighters
Shenzhen Leopards114-95Beijing Royal Fighters
Beijing Royal Fighters112-102Shenzhen Leopards

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shenzhen Leopards 1499 · Beijing Royal Fighters 1493

	Shenzhen Leopards	Beijing Royal Fighters
Our model	63%	37%
Market	27%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 188.6 points · Bet365 line 181.5 · +7.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points188.6Shenzhen Leopards 91.6 · Beijing Royal Fighters 97

Match keys

Beijing Royal Fighters is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours Beijing Royal Fighters: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Shenzhen Leopards	Beijing Royal Fighters
Points F\|A (Last 10)	88.7 / 95.5	90.1 / 89.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	79.6 / 96	92.4 / 93.8
Est. result	92	97

Est. total188.6

Line O/U181.5

Diff.7.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.40

21.28

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.83

2 (-5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 181.51.83

Under 181.51.83

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 181.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 2.75▼	Bet365 2.75
2	1.28 → 1.40▲	Pinn 1.50 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	2
15:00 +12’	3.40	1.28
17:04 +9’	2.75▼	1.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
16:08 +9’	2.34	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shenzhen Leopards 2–0–4 Beijing Royal Fighters

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/10/26 Club Friendlies	Shenzhen Leopards	77-92	Beijing Royal Fighters
04/04/26 China CBA	Beijing Royal Fighters	103-104	Shenzhen Leopards
31/12/25 China CBA	Shenzhen Leopards	101-105	Beijing Royal Fighters
21/03/25 China CBA	Shenzhen Leopards	91-105	Beijing Royal Fighters
17/03/25 China CBA	Shenzhen Leopards	114-95	Beijing Royal Fighters
19/01/25 China CBA	Beijing Royal Fighters	112-102	Shenzhen Leopards

Standings · China CBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Beijing Ducks	3	3	0	300	222
2	Liaoning Flying Leopards	3	3	0	296	270
3	Zhejiang Lions	3	2	1	292	299
4	Shanxi Loongs	3	2	1	315	280
5	Shanghai Sharks	3	2	1	299	263
6	Guangzhou Long-Lions	3	2	1	290	262
7	Fujian Sturgeons	3	2	1	278	260
8	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	3	2	1	256	245
9	Beijing Royal Fighters	3	2	1	280	258
10	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	3	2	1	272	261
11	Sichuan Blue Whales	3	2	1	281	277
12	Nanjing Monkey King	3	1	2	274	315
13	Shandong Hi-Speed	3	1	2	265	281
14	Guangdong Southern Tigers	3	1	2	269	270
15	Jilin Northeast Tigers	3	1	2	259	258
16	Tianjin Pioneers	3	1	2	279	290
17	Shenzhen Leopards	3	1	2	219	303
18	Qingdao Eagles	3	0	3	253	267
19	Jiangsu Dragons	3	0	3	248	271
20	Ningbo Rockets	3	0	3	220	293

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shenzhen Leopards	Beijing Royal Fighters
Beijing Ducks	62-120 L	65-84 L
Jiangsu Dragons	89-81 W	93-82 W
Shanghai Sharks	68-102 L	92-105 L
Zhejiang Lions	88-97 L	104-117 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Beijing Royal Fighters (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shenzhen Leopards

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/10	Beijing Ducks China CBA	62-120	L
19/10	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	89-81	W
16/10	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	68-102	L
23/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	88-97	L
21/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	91-80	W
18/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	85-92	L
16/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	102-111	L
10/05	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	95-91	W
07/05	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	108-95	W
24/04	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	99-86	W

Beijing Royal Fighters

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA	93-82	W
19/10	Shanghai Sharks China CBA	92-105	L
17/10	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	95-71	W
24/04	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	78-94	L
19/04	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	104-117	L
17/04	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	93-71	W
15/04	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	87-81	W
13/04	Shanxi Loongs China CBA	102-89	W
10/04	Beijing Ducks China CBA	65-84	L
08/04	Nanjing Monkey King China CBA	92-101	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shenzhen Leopards vs Beijing Royal Fighters?

Our model gives 65% to Beijing Royal Fighters.

How many points are expected in Shenzhen Leopards vs Beijing Royal Fighters?

The model estimates 188.6 total points (Shenzhen Leopards 91.6 · Beijing Royal Fighters 97).