Basketball · Cyprus Division A · 24/10, 16:00
Prediction: Apollon Limassol vs Keravnos
Prediction summary
Estimated points
159.8Total
Apollon Limassol73.2
Keravnos86.6
1X2
Apollon Limassol
Keravnos
Recent form · 10 last
Apollon Limassol
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Keravnos
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Apollon Limassol
0–6
Keravnos
(6 last)
- Keravnos92-71Apollon Limassol
- Apollon Limassol65-101Keravnos
- Keravnos107-69Apollon Limassol
- Apollon Limassol62-78Keravnos
- Keravnos96-81Apollon Limassol
- Keravnos116-86Apollon Limassol
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Apollon Limassol 1470 · Keravnos 1617
| Apollon Limassol | Keravnos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
Estimated total (ours)
159.8 points · Bet365 line 163.5 · -3.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points159.8Apollon Limassol 73.2 · Keravnos 86.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Keravnos (rating 1470 vs 1617).
- Keravnos is a clear favourite (83% market).
- H2H favours Keravnos: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Apollon Limassol | Keravnos | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 75.5 / 87.6 | 83.5 / 73.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 75.8 / 86.8 | 83.8 / 73.6 |
| Est. result | 73 | 87 |
Est. total159.8
Line O/U163.5
Diff.3.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Apollon Limassol 0–0–6 Keravnos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 Cyprus Division A | Keravnos | 92-71 | Apollon Limassol |
| 07/02/26 Cyprus Division A | Apollon Limassol | 65-101 | Keravnos |
| 12/12/25 Cyprus Division A | Keravnos | 107-69 | Apollon Limassol |
| 23/09/25 Club Friendlies | Apollon Limassol | 62-78 | Keravnos |
| 16/04/25 Cyprus Division A | Keravnos | 96-81 | Apollon Limassol |
| 07/02/25 Cyprus Division A | Keravnos | 116-86 | Apollon Limassol |
Standings · Cyprus Division A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keravnos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 186 | 144 | 4 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 173 | 135 | 4 |
| 3 | Etha Engomis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 143 | 129 | 4 |
| 4 | AEL | 2 | 1 | 1 | 162 | 157 | 3 |
| 5 | Apoel | 2 | 1 | 1 | 159 | 156 | 3 |
| 6 | EN Paralimni | 2 | 1 | 1 | 169 | 168 | 3 |
| 7 | Apollon Limassol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 146 | 178 | 3 |
| 8 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 143 | 159 | 2 |
| 9 | Digenis Morphou B.C. | 2 | 0 | 2 | 147 | 167 | 2 |
| 10 | Achilleas Kaimakliou | 2 | 0 | 2 | 150 | 185 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Apollon Limassol | Keravnos |
|---|---|---|
| Achilleas Kaimakliou | 90-88 W | 95-62 W |
| AEK Larnaca | 56-90 L | 64-68 L |
| AEL | 77-89 L | 92-60 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Keravnos (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Apollon Limassol
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Achilleas Kaimakliou Cyprus Division A |
90-88 | W |
| 11/10 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A |
56-90 | L |
| 07/04 | Keravnos Cyprus Division A |
71-92 | L |
| 05/04 | EN Paralimni Cyprus Division A |
87-80 | W |
| 01/04 | Apoel Cyprus Division A |
75-84 | L |
| 27/03 | AEL Cyprus Division A |
77-89 | L |
| 20/03 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A |
77-91 | L |
| 06/03 | AEL Cyprus Division A |
85-76 | W |
| 13/02 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A |
72-85 | L |
| 07/02 | Keravnos Cyprus Division A |
65-101 | L |
Keravnos
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Digenis Morphou B.C. Cyprus Division A |
91-82 | W |
| 10/10 | Achilleas Kaimakliou Cyprus Division A |
95-62 | W |
| 25/05 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A |
64-68 | L |
| 21/05 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A |
94-80 | W |
| 17/05 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A |
75-76 | L |
| 13/05 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A |
81-86 | L |
| 09/05 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A |
75-68 | W |
| 02/05 | AEL Cyprus Division A |
92-60 | W |
| 29/04 | AEL Cyprus Division A |
82-87 | L |
| 25/04 | AEL Cyprus Division A |
86-66 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Apollon Limassol vs Keravnos?
Our model gives 83% to Keravnos.
How many points are expected in Apollon Limassol vs Keravnos?
The model estimates 159.8 total points (Apollon Limassol 73.2 · Keravnos 86.6).