Basketball · Cyprus Division A · 24/10, 16:00
Prediction: EN Paralimni vs AEK Larnaca
Team pages: EN Paralimni · AEK Larnaca
Prediction summary
Estimated points
163.2Total
EN Paralimni75.4
AEK Larnaca87.7
1X2
EN Paralimni
AEK Larnaca
Recent form · 10 last
EN Paralimni
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
AEK Larnaca
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
EN Paralimni
0–6
AEK Larnaca
(6 last)
- EN Paralimni74-90AEK Larnaca
- AEK Larnaca81-45EN Paralimni
- EN Paralimni70-78AEK Larnaca
- AEK Larnaca76-58EN Paralimni
- AEK Larnaca90-82EN Paralimni
- AEK Larnaca89-71EN Paralimni
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · EN Paralimni 1472 · AEK Larnaca 1608
| EN Paralimni | AEK Larnaca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
Estimated total (ours)
163.2 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points163.2EN Paralimni 75.4 · AEK Larnaca 87.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AEK Larnaca (rating 1472 vs 1608).
- AEK Larnaca is a clear favourite (81% market).
- H2H favours AEK Larnaca: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| EN Paralimni | AEK Larnaca | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 85.3 / 88.5 | 81.2 / 76.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83.4 / 87.8 | 79.4 / 73.6 |
| Est. result | 75 | 88 |
Est. total163.2
Line O/U162.5
Diff.0.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · EN Paralimni 0–0–6 AEK Larnaca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/26 Cyprus Division A | EN Paralimni | 74-90 | AEK Larnaca |
| 26/02/26 Club Friendlies | AEK Larnaca | 81-45 | EN Paralimni |
| 23/01/26 Cyprus Division A | EN Paralimni | 70-78 | AEK Larnaca |
| 29/11/25 Club Friendlies | AEK Larnaca | 76-58 | EN Paralimni |
| 08/11/25 Cyprus Division A | AEK Larnaca | 90-82 | EN Paralimni |
| 28/03/25 Cyprus Division A | AEK Larnaca | 89-71 | EN Paralimni |
Standings · Cyprus Division A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keravnos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 186 | 144 | 4 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 173 | 135 | 4 |
| 3 | Etha Engomis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 143 | 129 | 4 |
| 4 | AEL | 2 | 1 | 1 | 162 | 157 | 3 |
| 5 | Apoel | 2 | 1 | 1 | 159 | 156 | 3 |
| 6 | EN Paralimni | 2 | 1 | 1 | 169 | 168 | 3 |
| 7 | Apollon Limassol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 146 | 178 | 3 |
| 8 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 143 | 159 | 2 |
| 9 | Digenis Morphou B.C. | 2 | 0 | 2 | 147 | 167 | 2 |
| 10 | Achilleas Kaimakliou | 2 | 0 | 2 | 150 | 185 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | EN Paralimni | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| Apoel | 86-85 W | 83-79 W |
| Apollon Limassol | 80-87 L | 90-56 W |
| Keravnos | 74-97 L | 68-64 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: AEK Larnaca (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
EN Paralimni
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | AEL Cyprus Division A |
77-89 | L |
| 11/10 | Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division A |
92-79 | W |
| 08/04 | Apoel Cyprus Division A |
86-85 | W |
| 05/04 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division A |
80-87 | L |
| 31/03 | AEL Cyprus Division A |
82-99 | L |
| 26/03 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division A |
74-90 | L |
| 21/03 | Keravnos Cyprus Division A |
74-97 | L |
| 07/03 | Digenis Morphou B.C. Cyprus Division A |
89-73 | W |
| 14/02 | Etha Engomis Cyprus Division A |
103-87 | W |
| 07/02 | Apoel Cyprus Division A |
96-99 | L |
AEK Larnaca
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Apoel Cyprus Division A |
83-79 | W |
| 11/10 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division A |
90-56 | W |
| 25/05 | Keravnos Cyprus Division A |
68-64 | W |
| 21/05 | Keravnos Cyprus Division A |
80-94 | L |
| 17/05 | Keravnos Cyprus Division A |
76-75 | W |
| 13/05 | Keravnos Cyprus Division A |
86-81 | W |
| 09/05 | Keravnos Cyprus Division A |
68-75 | L |
| 01/05 | Apoel Cyprus Division A |
85-71 | W |
| 28/04 | Apoel Cyprus Division A |
87-95 | L |
| 24/04 | Apoel Cyprus Division A |
89-72 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in EN Paralimni vs AEK Larnaca?
Our model gives 81% to AEK Larnaca.
How many points are expected in EN Paralimni vs AEK Larnaca?
The model estimates 163.2 total points (EN Paralimni 75.4 · AEK Larnaca 87.7).